Aarau vs Baden Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Aarau v Baden — Team-Based Signals
Aarau vs Baden Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings
Aarau 2-0 Baden — Actual Match Statistics
Aarau saw off Baden 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Aarau as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.
On the day, Aarau had 64% of the ball to Baden's 36%, shots finished 20-15, expected goals 1.52 to 1.29.
Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Aarau had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Aarau and 0.50 for Baden.
What was the final score of Aarau vs Baden?
Aarau 2-0 Baden in the Switzerland Challenge League on 16/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Aarau vs Baden?
Before kick-off our model rated a Aarau win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Aarau 50%, draw 28%, Baden 22%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Aarau) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.