Real Madrid (K) 1-0 Eibar (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — İspanya - Premier Lig Kadınlar, 16 Mar 2024

Real Madrid (K)
1-0 HT 1-0
Eibar (K)
📅16/03/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
İspanya - Premier Lig Kadınlar – 2024

Real Madrid (K) vs Eibar (K) Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
1.16
Draw
33%
7.13
Away
33%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.89
Over 2.5
50%
1.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
2.19
No
50%
1.6
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
82%
-48.6pp
33%
Draw
11%
+22.0pp
33%
Away Win
7%
+26.6pp
50%
Under 2.5
31%
+18.9pp
50%
Over 2.5
69%
-18.9pp
50%
BTTS Yes
42%
+8.4pp
50%
BTTS No
58%
-8.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Real Madrid (K) v Eibar (K) — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Real Madrid (K) EU Bookmakers 87%
Head to Head
AWAY Eibar (K) EU Bookmakers 9%
+10% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +17% / +17%
2.93/0.93 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.28/1.09
+109% / -22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -16% / +23%
50% Ball Possession 50%
0 Total Shots 0
0 Shots on Target 0
0 Corners 0
0 · 0% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 0 · 0%
33.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.8
18.0 Crosses 14.4
1.5 Yellow Cards 1.7

Real Madrid (K) 1-0 Eibar (K) — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Real Madrid (K)
1-0
AWAY Eibar (K)
1.53 xG 0.11
71% Ball Possession 29%
17 Total Shots 6
4 Shots on Target 0
7 Corners 0
553 Passes 174
84% Pass Accuracy 64%
28 Box Touches 6
21 Crosses 7
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Real Madrid (K) vs Eibar (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Real Madrid (K) squeezed past Eibar (K) 1-0.

Our pre-match split (33% / 33% / 33%) promised a tight game; Real Madrid (K) found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Real Madrid (K) had 71% of the ball to Eibar (K)'s 29%, shots finished 17-6, expected goals 1.53 to 0.11 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Real Madrid (K)'s control.

What was the final score of Real Madrid (K) vs Eibar (K)?

Real Madrid (K) 1-0 Eibar (K) in the İspanya - Premier Lig Kadınlar on 16/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Real Madrid (K) vs Eibar (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Real Madrid (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 33%, with the full match-result split Real Madrid (K) 33%, draw 33%, Eibar (K) 33%. The final score 1-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (33/33/33)
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