Villarreal (K) 1-4 Madrid CFF (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — İspanya - Premier Lig Kadınlar, 16 Mar 2024

📅16/03/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
3.5
Draw
33%
3.64
Away
33%
1.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.1
Over 2.5
50%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.63
No
50%
2.13
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
25%
+8.5pp
33%
Draw
24%
+9.5pp
33%
Away Win
51%
-18.1pp
50%
Under 2.5
44%
+6.1pp
50%
Over 2.5
56%
-6.1pp
50%
BTTS Yes
57%
-7.2pp
50%
BTTS No
43%
+7.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Villarreal (K) EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Madrid CFF (K) EU Bookmakers 56%
+13% / +13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-15% / +50% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
50% Ball Possession 50%
0 Total Shots 0
0 Shots on Target 0
0 Corners 0
0 · 0% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 0 · 0%
17.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
15.0 Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Villarreal (K)
1-4
AWAY Madrid CFF (K)
2.04 xG 2.23
36% Ball Possession 64%
11 Total Shots 17
4 Shots on Target 12
6 Corners 2
188 Passes 440
63% Pass Accuracy 80%
19 Box Touches 23
12 Crosses 10
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Villarreal (K) vs Madrid CFF (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Madrid CFF (K) swept aside Villarreal (K) 4-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (33% / 33% / 33%) promised a tight game; Madrid CFF (K) found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Villarreal (K) had 36% of the ball to Madrid CFF (K)'s 64%, shots finished 11-17, expected goals 2.04 to 2.23.

What was the final score of Villarreal (K) vs Madrid CFF (K)?

Villarreal (K) 1-4 Madrid CFF (K) in the İspanya - Premier Lig Kadınlar on 16/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Villarreal (K) vs Madrid CFF (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Villarreal (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 33%, with the full match-result split Villarreal (K) 33%, draw 33%, Madrid CFF (K) 33%. The final score 1-4 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (33/33/33)
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