Adamstown Rosebuds 2-2 New Lambton FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - National Premier League, 16 Mar 2024

📅16/03/2024 · 🕒10:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
2.53
Draw
26%
3.54
Away
47%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.51
Over 2.5
54%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.41
No
42%
2.67
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
8%
1/X
5%
X/1
7%
X/2
16%
X/X
15%
2/1
5%
2/2
23%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
35%
-8.7pp
26%
Draw
24%
+1.9pp
47%
Away Win
40%
+6.8pp
46%
Under 2.5
36%
+9.6pp
54%
Over 2.5
64%
-9.6pp
58%
BTTS Yes
67%
-9.1pp
42%
BTTS No
33%
+9.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Adamstown Rosebuds EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY New Lambton FC EU Bookmakers 45%
-56% / -56% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +42% / +42%
1.00/4.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.00/1.00
-37% / -59% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +13% / +43%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
334 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 276 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Adamstown Rosebuds
1W-0D-1L
AWAY New Lambton FC
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 4
4 Yellow Cards 2
17.06.2023 New Lambton FC New Lambton FC 0-3 HT 0-1 Adamstown Rosebuds Adamstown Rosebuds AVNSW
25.03.2023 Adamstown Rosebuds Adamstown Rosebuds 1-2 HT 0-1 New Lambton FC New Lambton FC AVNPL
POST-MATCH Adamstown Rosebuds vs New Lambton FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Adamstown Rosebuds and New Lambton FC shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was New Lambton FC at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged both teams to score (58%), and that read landed as well.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Adamstown Rosebuds and 1.00 for New Lambton FC.

What was the final score of Adamstown Rosebuds vs New Lambton FC?

Adamstown Rosebuds 2-2 New Lambton FC in the Australia - National Premier League on 16/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Adamstown Rosebuds vs New Lambton FC?

Before kick-off our model rated an New Lambton FC win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Adamstown Rosebuds 27%, draw 26%, New Lambton FC 47%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (New Lambton FC) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (New Lambton FC) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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