Balcatta 2-2 Fremantle City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - National Premier League, 16 Mar 2024

📅16/03/2024 · 🕒10:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.25
Draw
24%
3.54
Away
38%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.59
Over 2.5
48%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.39
No
50%
2.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
8%
1/X
8%
X/1
13%
X/2
18%
X/X
12%
2/1
8%
2/2
12%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
41%
-2.7pp
24%
Draw
25%
-0.7pp
38%
Away Win
34%
+3.4pp
52%
Under 2.5
35%
+17.4pp
48%
Over 2.5
65%
-17.4pp
50%
BTTS Yes
68%
-18.0pp
50%
BTTS No
32%
+18.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Balcatta EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Fremantle City EU Bookmakers 38%
+7% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-5% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
283 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 357 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.8 Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Balcatta vs Fremantle City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Balcatta and Fremantle City shared the points in a 2-2 draw. It was 2-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match split (38% / 24% / 38%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

What was the final score of Balcatta vs Fremantle City?

Balcatta 2-2 Fremantle City in the Australia - National Premier League on 16/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Balcatta vs Fremantle City?

Before kick-off our model rated a Balcatta win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Balcatta 38%, draw 24%, Fremantle City 38%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (38/24/38) ✗ Under 2.5
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