Hume City 2-1 St. Albans Saints — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - National Premier League, 16 Mar 2024

📅16/03/2024 · 🕒12:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
58%
1.42
Draw
21%
4.34
Away
21%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.23
Over 2.5
52%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.81
No
54%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
20%
X/2
6%
X/X
7%
2/1
9%
2/2
10%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
58%
Home Win
66%
-8.3pp
21%
Draw
20%
+1.2pp
21%
Away Win
14%
+7.1pp
48%
Under 2.5
41%
+7.1pp
52%
Over 2.5
59%
-7.1pp
46%
BTTS Yes
51%
-5.5pp
54%
BTTS No
49%
+5.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hume City EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY St. Albans Saints EU Bookmakers 17%
-9% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +11%
2.56/1.44 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.05/1.79
+16% / -18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -14% / +20%
58% Ball Possession 42%
16 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
410 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 263 · 70%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
28.5 Crosses 11.2
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hume City
2W-1D-2L
AWAY St. Albans Saints
1.80 Avg Goals (FT) 1.20
1.70 xG 0.68
56% Ball Possession 44%
12 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
288 Passes 186
68% Pass Accuracy 62%
17 Crosses 14
3 Yellow Cards 2
11.06.2023 St. Albans Saints St. Albans Saints 3-0 HT 0-0 Hume City Hume City AVNPL
11.03.2023 Hume City Hume City 1-1 HT 0-0 St. Albans Saints St. Albans Saints AVNPL
10.07.2022 St. Albans Saints St. Albans Saints 0-1 HT 0-0 Hume City Hume City AVNPL
09.04.2022 Hume City Hume City 1-2 HT 0-2 St. Albans Saints St. Albans Saints AVNPL
24.04.2021 Hume City Hume City 6-0 HT 3-0 St. Albans Saints St. Albans Saints AVNPL
POST-MATCH Hume City vs St. Albans Saints
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hume City squeezed past St. Albans Saints 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Hume City as the likeliest winner at 58%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.80 goals for Hume City and 1.20 for St. Albans Saints.

What was the final score of Hume City vs St. Albans Saints?

Hume City 2-1 St. Albans Saints in the Australia - National Premier League on 16/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hume City vs St. Albans Saints?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hume City win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Hume City 58%, draw 21%, St. Albans Saints 21%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Hume City), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Hume City) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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