NWS Spirit 1-2 St George City FA — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - National Premier League, 16 Mar 2024

NWS Spirit
1-2 HT 2-2
St George City FA
📅16/03/2024 · 🕒09:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✓
Australia - National Premier League – 2024

NWS Spirit vs St George City FA Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
3.08
Draw
25%
3.64
Away
45%
1.98
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.21
Over 2.5
53%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.55
No
49%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
10%
X/2
18%
X/X
12%
2/1
5%
2/2
21%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
29%
+1.1pp
25%
Draw
24%
+1.0pp
45%
Away Win
47%
-2.1pp
47%
Under 2.5
41%
+5.2pp
53%
Over 2.5
59%
-5.2pp
51%
BTTS Yes
60%
-9.1pp
49%
BTTS No
40%
+9.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

NWS Spirit v St George City FA — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME NWS Spirit EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY St George City FA EU Bookmakers 50%
+3% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +31% / +31%
1.26/1.50 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.04/0.76
-29% / +51% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / +150%
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
247 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 381 · 80%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
15.2 Crosses 23.6
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.4

NWS Spirit vs St George City FA Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME NWS Spirit
0W-1D-1L
AWAY St George City FA
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
1.31 xG 1.88
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 19
6 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 8
322 Passes 296
72% Pass Accuracy 71%
13 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
27.05.2023 St George City FA St George City FA 3-0 HT 1-0 NWS Spirit NWS Spirit AVNPL
11.02.2023 NWS Spirit NWS Spirit 2-2 HT 2-2 St George City FA St George City FA AVNPL
POST-MATCH NWS Spirit vs St George City FA
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

St George City FA squeezed past NWS Spirit 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 2-2 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had St George City FA as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, St George City FA led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for NWS Spirit and 2.50 for St George City FA.

What was the final score of NWS Spirit vs St George City FA?

NWS Spirit 1-2 St George City FA in the Australia - National Premier League on 16/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for NWS Spirit vs St George City FA?

Before kick-off our model rated an St George City FA win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split NWS Spirit 30%, draw 25%, St George City FA 45%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (St George City FA), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (St George City FA) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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