Port Melbourne vs Heidelberg United Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Port Melbourne v Heidelberg United — Team-Based Signals
Port Melbourne vs Heidelberg United Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-0
HT 0-0
Heidelberg United
AVNPL
2-2
HT 0-2
Port Melbourne
AVNPL
4-0
HT 2-0
Heidelberg United
AVNPL
0-1
HT 0-1
Port Melbourne
AVNPL
3-1
HT 2-0
Port Melbourne
AVNPL
0-2
HT 0-1
Heidelberg United
AVNPL
Port Melbourne and Heidelberg United couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 1-1.
Our pre-match lean was Port Melbourne at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Port Melbourne had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Port Melbourne and 1.17 for Heidelberg United.
What was the final score of Port Melbourne vs Heidelberg United?
Port Melbourne 2-2 Heidelberg United in the Australia - National Premier League on 16/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Port Melbourne vs Heidelberg United?
Before kick-off our model rated a Port Melbourne win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Port Melbourne 41%, draw 27%, Heidelberg United 32%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.