St. George Saints 2-3 Sydney United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - National Premier League, 16 Mar 2024

📅16/03/2024 · 🕒11:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.84
Draw
23%
3.45
Away
40%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.07
Over 2.5
48%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.6
No
50%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
5%
1/X
10%
X/1
12%
X/2
14%
X/X
8%
2/1
9%
2/2
21%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
31%
+5.1pp
23%
Draw
25%
-2.0pp
40%
Away Win
43%
-3.1pp
52%
Under 2.5
44%
+7.3pp
48%
Over 2.5
56%
-7.3pp
50%
BTTS Yes
58%
-8.3pp
50%
BTTS No
42%
+8.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME St. George Saints EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Sydney United EU Bookmakers 48%
+41% / +41% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -15% / -14%
2.00/1.09 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.35/1.47
+39% / +63% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -28% / -6%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
313 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 314 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses 15.2
Yellow Cards 2.0
POST-MATCH St. George Saints vs Sydney United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sydney United edged past St. George Saints 3-2 away from home. Half-time: 0-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (36% / 23% / 40%) promised a tight game; Sydney United found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

What was the final score of St. George Saints vs Sydney United?

St. George Saints 2-3 Sydney United in the Australia - National Premier League on 16/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for St. George Saints vs Sydney United?

Before kick-off our model rated an Sydney United win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split St. George Saints 36%, draw 23%, Sydney United 40%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sydney United) — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Sydney United) ✗ Under 2.5
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