W. Sydney Wanderers (K) 1-0 Perth Glory (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - W-League, 16 Mar 2024

📅16/03/2024 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.66
Draw
21%
3.8
Away
28%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
35%
2.1
Over 2.5
65%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.7
No
45%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
32%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
14%
X/2
8%
X/X
9%
2/1
8%
2/2
16%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
56%
-5.2pp
21%
Draw
23%
-1.8pp
28%
Away Win
21%
+6.9pp
35%
Under 2.5
44%
-9.0pp
65%
Over 2.5
56%
+9.0pp
55%
BTTS Yes
55%
-0.2pp
45%
BTTS No
45%
+0.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME W. Sydney Wanderers (K) EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY Perth Glory (K) EU Bookmakers 24%
+33% / +33% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +42% / +42%
4.00/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.72/1.24
+95% / +23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +37% / +74%
54% Ball Possession 46%
16 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
347 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 268 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 9.0
Crosses 12.6
Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME W. Sydney Wanderers (K)
2W-0D-2L
AWAY Perth Glory (K)
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.25
1.79 xG 2.00
48% Ball Possession 52%
20 Total Shots 13
8 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 4
262 Passes 296
69% Pass Accuracy 73%
30 Box Touches 20
28 Crosses 16
1 Yellow Cards 0
07.01.2024 Perth Glory (K) Perth Glory (K) 0-2 HT 0-1 W. Sydney Wanderers (K) W. Sydney Wanderers (K) AVUSTW
19.01.2020 W. Sydney Wanderers (K) W. Sydney Wanderers (K) 3-1 HT 1-0 Perth Glory (K) Perth Glory (K) AVUSTW
24.01.2019 W. Sydney Wanderers (K) W. Sydney Wanderers (K) 1-5 HT 1-2 Perth Glory (K) Perth Glory (K) AVUSTW
17.11.2018 Perth Glory (K) Perth Glory (K) 3-0 HT 2-0 W. Sydney Wanderers (K) W. Sydney Wanderers (K) AVUSTW
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME W. Sydney Wanderers (K)
1-0
AWAY Perth Glory (K)
1.02 xG 0.62
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 7
301 Passes 424
73% Pass Accuracy 83%
22 Box Touches 10
26 Crosses 16
POST-MATCH W. Sydney Wanderers (K) vs Perth Glory (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

W. Sydney Wanderers (K) edged past Perth Glory (K) 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had W. Sydney Wanderers (K) as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (65%), both teams to score (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, W. Sydney Wanderers (K) had 46% of the ball to Perth Glory (K)'s 54%, shots finished 12-12, expected goals 1.02 to 0.62.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for W. Sydney Wanderers (K) and 2.25 for Perth Glory (K).

What was the final score of W. Sydney Wanderers (K) vs Perth Glory (K)?

W. Sydney Wanderers (K) 1-0 Perth Glory (K) in the Australia - W-League on 16/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for W. Sydney Wanderers (K) vs Perth Glory (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a W. Sydney Wanderers (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split W. Sydney Wanderers (K) 51%, draw 21%, Perth Glory (K) 28%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (W. Sydney Wanderers (K)) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (W. Sydney Wanderers (K)) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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