Swarovski Tirol 1-1 Wolfsberger AC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Austria - Bundesliga, 16 Mar 2024

Swarovski Tirol
1-1 HT 0-0
Wolfsberger AC
📅16/03/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✓ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Austria - Bundesliga – 2023/2024

Swarovski Tirol vs Wolfsberger AC Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
2.57
Draw
23%
3.11
Away
46%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.64
Over 2.5
47%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.9
No
49%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2.62
2-3 Goals
43%
1.77
4-5 Goals
18%
4.5
6+ Goals
11%
23.6
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
4.12
1/2
5%
32.0
1/X
4%
13.8
X/1
8%
5.53
X/2
17%
5.15
X/X
14%
4.0
2/1
5%
34.5
2/2
24%
3.73
2/X
5%
13.7
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
35%
-3.9pp
23%
Draw
29%
-5.5pp
46%
Away Win
36%
+9.5pp
53%
Under 2.5
57%
-4.0pp
47%
Over 2.5
43%
+4.0pp
51%
BTTS Yes
49%
+2.4pp
49%
BTTS No
51%
-2.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Swarovski Tirol v Wolfsberger AC — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Swarovski Tirol EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Wolfsberger AC EU Bookmakers 40%
-10% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +2%
1.53/1.45 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.40/1.30
+14% / -17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / -11%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
306 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 303 · 75%
19.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.8
17.1 Crosses 16.8
2.6 Yellow Cards 1.5

Swarovski Tirol vs Wolfsberger AC Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Swarovski Tirol
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Wolfsberger AC
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
1.09 xG 1.92
49% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
279 Passes 314
70% Pass Accuracy 72%
17 Box Touches 19
19 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
17.02.2024 Wolfsberger AC Wolfsberger AC 4-1 HT 2-0 Swarovski Tirol Swarovski Tirol AVU
23.09.2023 Swarovski Tirol Swarovski Tirol 2-3 HT 0-1 Wolfsberger AC Wolfsberger AC AVU
27.05.2023 Wolfsberger AC Wolfsberger AC 2-0 HT 2-0 Swarovski Tirol Swarovski Tirol AVU
07.04.2023 Swarovski Tirol Swarovski Tirol 4-0 HT 3-0 Wolfsberger AC Wolfsberger AC AVU
11.02.2023 Wolfsberger AC Wolfsberger AC 1-2 HT 0-0 Swarovski Tirol Swarovski Tirol AVU
28.08.2022 Swarovski Tirol Swarovski Tirol 1-3 HT 1-1 Wolfsberger AC Wolfsberger AC AVU

Swarovski Tirol 1-1 Wolfsberger AC — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Swarovski Tirol
1-1
AWAY Wolfsberger AC
0.64 xG 1.89
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
270 Passes 347
72% Pass Accuracy 76%
27 Box Touches 16
21 Crosses 13
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Swarovski Tirol vs Wolfsberger AC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Swarovski Tirol and Wolfsberger AC couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Wolfsberger AC at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Swarovski Tirol had 46% of the ball to Wolfsberger AC's 54%, shots finished 10-10, expected goals 0.64 to 1.89.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Wolfsberger AC led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Swarovski Tirol and 2.17 for Wolfsberger AC.

What was the final score of Swarovski Tirol vs Wolfsberger AC?

Swarovski Tirol 1-1 Wolfsberger AC in the Austria - Bundesliga on 16/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Swarovski Tirol vs Wolfsberger AC?

Before kick-off our model rated an Wolfsberger AC win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Swarovski Tirol 31%, draw 23%, Wolfsberger AC 46%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Wolfsberger AC) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Wolfsberger AC) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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