Zira 2-1 Kapaz — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Azerbaijan - Super League, 16 Mar 2024

Zira
2-1 HT 0-0
Kapaz
📅16/03/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
1.75
Draw
32%
3.45
Away
25%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.62
Over 2.5
43%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.09
No
55%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
5%
1/X
4%
X/1
16%
X/2
6%
X/X
20%
2/1
7%
2/2
13%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
53%
-9.8pp
32%
Draw
26%
+6.2pp
25%
Away Win
21%
+3.6pp
57%
Under 2.5
58%
-1.4pp
43%
Over 2.5
42%
+1.4pp
45%
BTTS Yes
44%
+1.6pp
55%
BTTS No
56%
-1.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Zira EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Kapaz EU Bookmakers 24%
+2% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +4%
1.38/0.88 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/1.49
-21% / -5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +5% / -8%
56% Ball Possession 44%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
306 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 227 · 67%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.4 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Zira
2W-4D-0L
AWAY Kapaz
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
46% Ball Possession 54%
8 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 4
21.10.2023 Kapaz Kapaz 0-0 HT 0-0 Zira Zira AZERS
12.08.2023 Zira Zira 1-0 HT 0-0 Kapaz Kapaz AZERS
12.05.2023 Zira Zira 1-1 HT 0-1 Kapaz Kapaz AZERS
10.03.2023 Kapaz Kapaz 1-1 HT 1-0 Zira Zira AZERS
25.12.2022 Zira Zira 2-2 HT 1-2 Kapaz Kapaz AZERS
05.08.2022 Kapaz Kapaz 1-2 HT 1-1 Zira Zira AZERS
POST-MATCH Zira vs Kapaz
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Zira squeezed past Kapaz 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Zira as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Zira had the better of it with 2 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Zira and 0.83 for Kapaz.

What was the final score of Zira vs Kapaz?

Zira 2-1 Kapaz in the Azerbaijan - Super League on 16/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Zira vs Kapaz?

Before kick-off our model rated a Zira win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Zira 43%, draw 32%, Kapaz 25%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Zira) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Zira) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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