Araz Nahçıvan 1-1 Qabala — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Azerbaijan - Super League, 16 Mar 2024

📅16/03/2024 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
1.96
Draw
29%
3.28
Away
30%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.59
Over 2.5
43%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.03
No
57%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
7%
X/2
10%
X/X
17%
2/1
9%
2/2
14%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
47%
-6.0pp
29%
Draw
27%
+1.5pp
30%
Away Win
26%
+4.6pp
57%
Under 2.5
59%
-1.9pp
43%
Over 2.5
41%
+1.9pp
43%
BTTS Yes
45%
-2.1pp
57%
BTTS No
55%
+2.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Araz Nahçıvan EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Qabala EU Bookmakers 29%
+4% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -13% / -15%
1.00/0.68 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.96/1.68
-21% / +41% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -3% / -29%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
293 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 272 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Araz Nahçıvan
2W-1D-1L
AWAY Qabala
1.75 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
09.02.2024 Qabala Qabala 2-0 HT 2-0 Araz Nahçıvan Araz Nahçıvan AZERK
31.01.2024 Araz Nahçıvan Araz Nahçıvan 1-1 HT 1-1 Qabala Qabala AZERK
22.10.2023 Qabala Qabala 1-4 HT 1-2 Araz Nahçıvan Araz Nahçıvan AZERS
12.08.2023 Araz Nahçıvan Araz Nahçıvan 2-0 HT 1-0 Qabala Qabala AZERS
POST-MATCH Araz Nahçıvan vs Qabala
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Araz Nahçıvan and Qabala couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Araz Nahçıvan at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (57%) landed while no to both teams scoring (57%) missed.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Araz Nahçıvan had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.75 goals for Araz Nahçıvan and 1.00 for Qabala.

What was the final score of Araz Nahçıvan vs Qabala?

Araz Nahçıvan 1-1 Qabala in the Azerbaijan - Super League on 16/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Araz Nahçıvan vs Qabala?

Before kick-off our model rated a Araz Nahçıvan win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Araz Nahçıvan 41%, draw 29%, Qabala 30%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Araz Nahçıvan), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Araz Nahçıvan) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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16 Mar 2024
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