Brabrand 1-1 Middelfart — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Denmark - 2nd Division, 16 Mar 2024

📅16/03/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
4.04
Draw
27%
3.54
Away
47%
1.74
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.78
Over 2.5
45%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
1.9
No
58%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
31%
2.98
2-3 Goals
44%
1.77
4-5 Goals
16%
3.91
6+ Goals
9%
17.55
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.98 — our 31% vs market 27.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
8%
X/2
15%
X/X
17%
2/1
6%
2/2
27%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
26%
Home Win
22%
+4.6pp
27%
Draw
25%
+1.7pp
47%
Away Win
54%
-6.4pp
55%
Under 2.5
52%
+2.3pp
45%
Over 2.5
48%
-2.3pp
42%
BTTS Yes
49%
-6.9pp
58%
BTTS No
51%
+6.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Brabrand EU Bookmakers 25%
Head to Head
AWAY Middelfart EU Bookmakers 57%
+9% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +9%
1.23/1.46 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.00/1.09
+8% / +26% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +2% / +2%
45% Ball Possession 55%
8 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 6
276 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 429 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards 1.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Brabrand
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Middelfart
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
55% Ball Possession 45%
8 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 2
3 Yellow Cards 2
09.09.2023 Middelfart Middelfart 1-0 HT 0-0 Brabrand Brabrand DAN2
30.10.2021 Brabrand Brabrand 1-1 HT 0-0 Middelfart Middelfart DAN2
18.08.2021 Middelfart Middelfart 3-3 HT 1-1 Brabrand Brabrand DAN2
05.04.2021 Middelfart Middelfart 2-1 HT 0-1 Brabrand Brabrand DAN2
19.09.2020 Brabrand Brabrand 0-2 HT 0-2 Middelfart Middelfart DAN2
19.10.2019 Brabrand Brabrand 2-0 HT 1-0 Middelfart Middelfart DAN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Brabrand
1-1
AWAY Middelfart
45% Ball Possession 55%
8 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Brabrand vs Middelfart
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Brabrand and Middelfart shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Middelfart at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (55%) landed while no to both teams scoring (58%) missed.

On the day, Brabrand had 45% of the ball to Middelfart's 55%, shots finished 8-8.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Middelfart led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Brabrand and 1.50 for Middelfart.

What was the final score of Brabrand vs Middelfart?

Brabrand 1-1 Middelfart in the Denmark - 2nd Division on 16/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Brabrand vs Middelfart?

Before kick-off our model rated an Middelfart win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Brabrand 26%, draw 27%, Middelfart 47%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Middelfart), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Middelfart) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
DAN2 More Denmark - 2nd Division
16 Mar 2024
17:00 Nykobing vs Skive IK Analysis →