Nykobing 2-3 Skive IK — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Denmark - 2nd Division, 16 Mar 2024

Nykobing
2-3 HT 1-1
Skive IK
📅16/03/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Denmark - 2nd Division – 2023/2024

Nykobing vs Skive IK Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.0
Draw
32%
3.28
Away
27%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.71
Over 2.5
46%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.85
No
50%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
31%
2.83
2-3 Goals
38%
1.77
4-5 Goals
19%
4.12
6+ Goals
12%
19.7
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.83 — our 31% vs market 29.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
13%
X/2
10%
X/X
15%
2/1
8%
2/2
11%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
46%
-4.5pp
32%
Draw
27%
+5.1pp
27%
Away Win
27%
-0.7pp
54%
Under 2.5
55%
-0.9pp
46%
Over 2.5
45%
+0.9pp
50%
BTTS Yes
50%
+0.3pp
50%
BTTS No
50%
-0.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Nykobing v Skive IK — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Nykobing EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Skive IK EU Bookmakers 31%
+4% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +7%
1.55/1.39 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.20/1.52
+2% / -20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +8% / -1%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
312 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 200 · 65%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.3 Yellow Cards 1.6

Nykobing vs Skive IK Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Nykobing
2W-1D-1L
AWAY Skive IK
2.75 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
56% Ball Possession 44%
12 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
07.10.2023 Skive IK Skive IK 0-2 HT 0-0 Nykobing Nykobing DAN2
12.06.2020 Skive IK Skive IK 3-2 HT 0-0 Nykobing Nykobing DAN1
01.03.2020 Nykobing Nykobing 4-2 HT 2-0 Skive IK Skive IK DAN1
28.09.2019 Skive IK Skive IK 3-3 HT 2-1 Nykobing Nykobing DAN1

Nykobing 2-3 Skive IK — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Nykobing
2-3
AWAY Skive IK
51% Ball Possession 49%
7 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 7
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Nykobing vs Skive IK
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Skive IK nicked a narrow win over Nykobing 3-2 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Nykobing at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Nykobing had 51% of the ball to Skive IK's 49%, shots finished 7-9.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Nykobing had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.75 goals for Nykobing and 2.00 for Skive IK.

What was the final score of Nykobing vs Skive IK?

Nykobing 2-3 Skive IK in the Denmark - 2nd Division on 16/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Nykobing vs Skive IK?

Before kick-off our model rated a Nykobing win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Nykobing 41%, draw 32%, Skive IK 27%. The final score 2-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Nykobing) ✗ Under 2.5
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