Nantes 1-3 RC Strasbourg — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Ligue 1, 16 Mar 2024

📅16/03/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.02
Draw
27%
3.18
Away
31%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.67
Over 2.5
47%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.9
No
50%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2.72
2-3 Goals
41%
1.77
4-5 Goals
22%
4.31
6+ Goals
9%
21.85
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
2.89
1/2
8%
34.5
1/X
7%
13.8
X/1
14%
4.4
X/2
12%
7.0
X/X
13%
4.13
2/1
7%
28.5
2/2
11%
5.54
2/X
7%
14.3
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
46%
-3.4pp
27%
Draw
28%
-1.5pp
31%
Away Win
26%
+4.9pp
53%
Under 2.5
56%
-3.4pp
47%
Over 2.5
44%
+3.4pp
50%
BTTS Yes
49%
+1.1pp
50%
BTTS No
51%
-1.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Nantes EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY RC Strasbourg EU Bookmakers 30%
+2% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +4%
1.45/1.15 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.26/1.28
+7% / -7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +20% / +7%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
368 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 305 · 76%
25.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.4
23.4 Crosses 15.5
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Nantes
2W-2D-2L
AWAY RC Strasbourg
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.32 xG 1.37
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 4
330 Passes 334
77% Pass Accuracy 77%
23 Box Touches 21
27 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 2
06.10.2023 RC Strasbourg RC Strasbourg 1-2 HT 0-0 Nantes Nantes FR1
07.05.2023 Nantes Nantes 0-2 HT 0-1 RC Strasbourg RC Strasbourg FR1
31.08.2022 RC Strasbourg RC Strasbourg 1-1 HT 1-0 Nantes Nantes FR1
06.02.2022 RC Strasbourg RC Strasbourg 1-0 HT 0-0 Nantes Nantes FR1
07.11.2021 Nantes Nantes 2-2 HT 1-1 RC Strasbourg RC Strasbourg FR1
25.04.2021 RC Strasbourg RC Strasbourg 1-2 HT 1-0 Nantes Nantes FR1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Nantes
1-3
AWAY RC Strasbourg
1.12 xG 1.95
64% Ball Possession 36%
11 Total Shots 11
2 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
402 Passes 199
87% Pass Accuracy 73%
29 Box Touches 16
30 Crosses 10
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Nantes vs RC Strasbourg
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

RC Strasbourg beat Nantes 3-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Nantes at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Nantes had 64% of the ball to RC Strasbourg's 36%, shots finished 11-11, expected goals 1.12 to 1.95.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Nantes and 1.33 for RC Strasbourg.

What was the final score of Nantes vs RC Strasbourg?

Nantes 1-3 RC Strasbourg in the France - Ligue 1 on 16/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Nantes vs RC Strasbourg?

Before kick-off our model rated a Nantes win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Nantes 42%, draw 27%, RC Strasbourg 31%. The final score 1-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Nantes) ✗ Under 2.5
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