16/03/2024
·
21:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
1-0
2nd Score
0-0
Guingamp II vs Dinan-Lehon Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Under
56%
Over
44%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
No Pick
57%
Total Goals
0-1
30%
2-3
45%
4-5
17%
6+
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
20%
X/2
11%
X/X
16%
2/1
5%
2/2
11%
2/X
4%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our Pick
BTTS No — 57% ✗
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Selection
The Market
50%
Home Win
42%
24%
Draw
28%
26%
Away Win
30%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Guingamp II v Dinan-Lehon — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Guingamp II
The Market 46%
Head to Head
AWAY
Dinan-Lehon
The Market 33%
+0% /
+0%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
-48% /
-48%
–/–
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
–/–
–
/
–
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
-29%
/
-18%
53%
Ball Possession
47%
13
Total Shots
10
6
Shots on Target
4
4
Corners
4
316 · 77%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
341 · 76%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
POST-MATCH
Guingamp II vs Dinan-Lehon
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Guingamp II saw off Dinan-Lehon 3-1.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Guingamp II as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%), no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.
What was the final score of Guingamp II vs Dinan-Lehon?
Guingamp II 3-1 Dinan-Lehon in the France - National League 2 on 16/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Guingamp II vs Dinan-Lehon?
Before kick-off our model rated a Guingamp II win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Guingamp II 50%, draw 24%, Dinan-Lehon 26%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Guingamp II) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.
✓ Match Result (Guingamp II)
✗ Under 2.5
✗ BTTS No
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FR4
More France - National League 2
16 Mar 2024