St-Philbert Gd Lieu 1-2 Fontenay — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - National League 3, 16 Mar 2024

📅16/03/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.67
Draw
28%
3.35
Away
30%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
56%
Over
44%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
No
52%
Total Goals
0-1
34%
2-3
35%
4-5
21%
6+
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
16%
X/2
4%
X/X
20%
2/1
6%
2/2
22%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 56%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
42%
Home Win
33%
+8.5pp
28%
Draw
26%
+2.0pp
30%
Away Win
41%
-10.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME St-Philbert Gd Lieu The Market 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Fontenay The Market 45%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
297 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 285 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME St-Philbert Gd Lieu
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Fontenay
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
10.02.2024 Fontenay Fontenay 1-0 St-Philbert Gd Lieu St-Philbert Gd Lieu FRUL3
POST-MATCH St-Philbert Gd Lieu vs Fontenay
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Fontenay squeezed past St-Philbert Gd Lieu 2-1 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was St-Philbert Gd Lieu at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of St-Philbert Gd Lieu vs Fontenay?

St-Philbert Gd Lieu 1-2 Fontenay in the France - National League 3 on 16/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for St-Philbert Gd Lieu vs Fontenay?

Before kick-off our model rated a St-Philbert Gd Lieu win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split St-Philbert Gd Lieu 42%, draw 28%, Fontenay 30%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (St-Philbert Gd Lieu) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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