Bjelovar 2-1 Jadran LP — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Croatia - 2.NL, 16 Mar 2024

📅16/03/2024 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
56%
1.33
Draw
19%
4.81
Away
25%
6.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under
38%
Over Pick
62%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%
No
40%
Total Goals
0-1
20%
2-3
36%
4-5
30%
6+
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
11%
1/X
8%
X/1
23%
X/2
3%
X/X
7%
2/1
7%
2/2
11%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Over 2.5 — 62%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH Home Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
56%
Home Win
71%
-14.3pp
19%
Draw
18%
+1.4pp
25%
Away Win
12%
+12.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bjelovar The Market 75%
Head to Head
AWAY Jadran LP The Market 15%
+19% / +19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+47% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
58% Ball Possession 42%
18 Total Shots 9
8 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 3
411 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 269 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Bjelovar
2-1
AWAY Jadran LP
56% Ball Possession 44%
9 Total Shots 7
3 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 3
POST-MATCH Bjelovar vs Jadran LP
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bjelovar nicked a narrow win over Jadran LP 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Bjelovar as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (62%), both teams to score (60%) came in.

On the day, Bjelovar had 56% of the ball to Jadran LP's 44%, shots finished 9-7.

What was the final score of Bjelovar vs Jadran LP?

Bjelovar 2-1 Jadran LP in the Croatia - 2.NL on 16/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bjelovar vs Jadran LP?

Before kick-off our model rated a Bjelovar win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Bjelovar 56%, draw 19%, Jadran LP 25%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Bjelovar), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Bjelovar) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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