16/03/2024
·
17:30
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
0-1
2nd Score
1-1
Hrvace vs Grobnican Cavle Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
56%
Over
44%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
No
53%
Total Goals
0-1
35%
2-3
38%
4-5
22%
6+
5%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
3%
1/X
4%
X/1
15%
X/2
22%
X/X
4%
2/1
4%
2/2
16%
2/X
17%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 56% ✗
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Selection
The Market
35%
Home Win
32%
25%
Draw
30%
40%
Away Win
38%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Hrvace v Grobnican Cavle — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Hrvace
The Market 36%
Head to Head
AWAY
Grobnican Cavle
The Market 42%
+0% /
+0%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+0% /
+0%
–/–
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
–/–
–
/
–
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
–
/
–
50%
Ball Possession
50%
13
Total Shots
11
4
Shots on Target
4
5
Corners
4
303 · 76%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
291 · 76%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
POST-MATCH
Hrvace vs Grobnican Cavle
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Hrvace and Grobnican Cavle couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2.
Our pre-match split (35% / 25% / 40%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.
What was the final score of Hrvace vs Grobnican Cavle?
Hrvace 2-2 Grobnican Cavle in the Croatia - 2.NL on 16/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Hrvace vs Grobnican Cavle?
Before kick-off our model rated an Grobnican Cavle win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Hrvace 35%, draw 25%, Grobnican Cavle 40%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.
✗ Match Result (Grobnican Cavle)
✗ Under 2.5
✗ BTTS No
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16 Mar 2024