Ario Eslamshahr 2-0 Saipa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iran - Azadegan League, 16 Mar 2024

Ario Eslamshahr
2-0 HT 1-0
Saipa
📅16/03/2024 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Iran - Azadegan League – 2023/2024

Ario Eslamshahr vs Saipa Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.8
Draw
36%
2.58
Away
30%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
78%
1.22
Over 2.5
22%
3.94
Both Teams to Score
Yes
25%
2.19
No
75%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
52%
1.95
2-3 Goals
31%
1.86
4-5 Goals
12%
6.94
6+ Goals
5%
34.5
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 1.95 — our 52% vs market 43.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
15%
X/2
9%
X/X
18%
2/1
5%
2/2
17%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Draw ★★ Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
33%
+0.9pp
36%
Draw
36%
+0.4pp
30%
Away Win
31%
-1.3pp
78%
Under 2.5
78%
-0.5pp
22%
Over 2.5
22%
+0.5pp
25%
BTTS Yes
42%
-16.4pp
75%
BTTS No
58%
+16.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Ario Eslamshahr v Saipa — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ario Eslamshahr EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Saipa EU Bookmakers 34%
-2% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +3%
0.56/0.54 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.80/0.72
-41% / +49% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / +33%
53% Ball Possession 47%
9 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 3
298 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 234 · 71%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

Ario Eslamshahr vs Saipa Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ario Eslamshahr
1W-0D-2L
AWAY Saipa
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
The Meetings
14.10.2023 Saipa Saipa 3-0 HT 2-0 Ario Eslamshahr Ario Eslamshahr IRANAZ
10.03.2023 Ario Eslamshahr Ario Eslamshahr 4-0 HT 3-0 Saipa Saipa IRANAZ
11.10.2022 Saipa Saipa 1-0 HT 1-0 Ario Eslamshahr Ario Eslamshahr IRANAZ
POST-MATCH Ario Eslamshahr vs Saipa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ario Eslamshahr beat Saipa 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match split (34% / 36% / 30%) promised a tight game; Ario Eslamshahr found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (78%), no to both teams scoring (75%), and both reads landed as well.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Saipa led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Ario Eslamshahr and 1.33 for Saipa.

What was the final score of Ario Eslamshahr vs Saipa?

Ario Eslamshahr 2-0 Saipa in the Iran - Azadegan League on 16/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ario Eslamshahr vs Saipa?

Before kick-off our model rated a draw the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Ario Eslamshahr 34%, draw 36%, Saipa 30%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Draw) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Draw) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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