Mes Shahr-e Babak FC 1-0 Naft Gachsaran — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iran - Azadegan League, 16 Mar 2024

Mes Shahr-e Babak FC
1-0 HT 1-0
Naft Gachsaran
📅16/03/2024 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Iran - Azadegan League – 2023/2024

Mes Shahr-e Babak FC vs Naft Gachsaran Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
2.57
Draw
39%
2.58
Away
30%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
71%
1.25
Over 2.5
29%
3.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.6
No
58%
1.43
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
41%
1.65
2-3 Goals
44%
2.01
4-5 Goals
10%
9.73
6+ Goals
5%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
16%
X/2
14%
X/X
21%
2/1
5%
2/2
10%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Draw ★★ Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
36%
-4.7pp
39%
Draw
36%
+2.9pp
30%
Away Win
29%
+1.8pp
71%
Under 2.5
76%
-5.8pp
29%
Over 2.5
24%
+5.8pp
42%
BTTS Yes
34%
+7.9pp
58%
BTTS No
66%
-7.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Mes Shahr-e Babak FC v Naft Gachsaran — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mes Shahr-e Babak FC EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Naft Gachsaran EU Bookmakers 32%
+3% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -14% / -14%
0.50/0.26 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.68/0.84
-51% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -15% / +12%
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 7
236 · 65% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 339 · 75%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

Mes Shahr-e Babak FC vs Naft Gachsaran Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Mes Shahr-e Babak FC
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Naft Gachsaran
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
The Meetings
14.10.2023 Naft Gachsaran 1-0 HT 0-0 Mes Shahr-e Babak FC Mes Shahr-e Babak FC IRANAZ
POST-MATCH Mes Shahr-e Babak FC vs Naft Gachsaran
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mes Shahr-e Babak FC squeezed past Naft Gachsaran 1-0.

Our pre-match split (31% / 39% / 30%) promised a tight game; Mes Shahr-e Babak FC found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (71%), no to both teams scoring (58%), and both reads landed as well.

What was the final score of Mes Shahr-e Babak FC vs Naft Gachsaran?

Mes Shahr-e Babak FC 1-0 Naft Gachsaran in the Iran - Azadegan League on 16/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mes Shahr-e Babak FC vs Naft Gachsaran?

Before kick-off our model rated a draw the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Mes Shahr-e Babak FC 31%, draw 39%, Naft Gachsaran 30%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Draw) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Draw) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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