Fujieda MYFC 0-1 Fagiano Okayama — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J2 League, 16 Mar 2024

📅16/03/2024 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
3.69
Draw
32%
3.45
Away
42%
1.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.9
Over 2.5
46%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.75
No
49%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
28%
3.36
2-3 Goals
42%
1.79
4-5 Goals
20%
3.52
6+ Goals
10%
13.8
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.36 — our 28% vs market 24.3%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
11%
1/X
10%
X/1
8%
X/2
12%
X/X
16%
2/1
5%
2/2
19%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
26%
Home Win
24%
+1.9pp
33%
Draw
26%
+7.0pp
42%
Away Win
51%
-8.9pp
54%
Under 2.5
49%
+5.6pp
46%
Over 2.5
51%
-5.6pp
51%
BTTS Yes
53%
-2.2pp
49%
BTTS No
47%
+2.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Fujieda MYFC EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Fagiano Okayama EU Bookmakers 55%
-2% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -3%
1.02/1.73 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.77/1.59
-4% / -23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +22% / -31%
43% Ball Possession 57%
9 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
296 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 330 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards 0.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Fujieda MYFC
1W-1D-0L
AWAY Fagiano Okayama
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
41% Ball Possession 59%
8 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 8
2 Yellow Cards 1
05.07.2023 Fagiano Okayama Fagiano Okayama 2-3 HT 0-1 Fujieda MYFC Fujieda MYFC JAP2
08.04.2023 Fujieda MYFC Fujieda MYFC 2-2 HT 0-1 Fagiano Okayama Fagiano Okayama JAP2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Fujieda MYFC
0-1
AWAY Fagiano Okayama
49% Ball Possession 51%
18 Total Shots 12
7 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Fujieda MYFC vs Fagiano Okayama
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Fagiano Okayama nicked a narrow win over Fujieda MYFC 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Fagiano Okayama as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Fujieda MYFC had 49% of the ball to Fagiano Okayama's 51%, shots finished 18-12.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Fujieda MYFC had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Fujieda MYFC and 2.00 for Fagiano Okayama.

What was the final score of Fujieda MYFC vs Fagiano Okayama?

Fujieda MYFC 0-1 Fagiano Okayama in the Japan - J2 League on 16/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Fujieda MYFC vs Fagiano Okayama?

Before kick-off our model rated an Fagiano Okayama win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Fujieda MYFC 26%, draw 33%, Fagiano Okayama 42%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Fagiano Okayama), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Fagiano Okayama) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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