Shimizu S-Pulse 2-0 Oita Trinita — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J2 League, 16 Mar 2024

📅16/03/2024 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.64
Draw
29%
3.54
Away
25%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.82
Over 2.5
46%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.9
No
49%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
3.17
2-3 Goals
39%
1.78
4-5 Goals
21%
3.7
6+ Goals
13%
15.4
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.17 — our 27% vs market 25.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
5%
1/X
10%
X/1
14%
X/2
8%
X/X
12%
2/1
8%
2/2
12%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
56%
-10.9pp
29%
Draw
25%
+4.9pp
25%
Away Win
19%
+6.0pp
54%
Under 2.5
51%
+2.5pp
46%
Over 2.5
49%
-2.5pp
51%
BTTS Yes
49%
+2.6pp
49%
BTTS No
51%
-2.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Shimizu S-Pulse EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Oita Trinita EU Bookmakers 22%
-5% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +14%
1.97/0.53 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.15/1.21
+15% / +68% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +13% / +19%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
489 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 315 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.1 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Shimizu S-Pulse
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Oita Trinita
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.67 xG 1.42
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
450 Passes 486
84% Pass Accuracy 86%
22 Box Touches 14
16 Crosses 21
3 Yellow Cards 0
09.07.2023 Oita Trinita Oita Trinita 1-2 HT 0-1 Shimizu S-Pulse Shimizu S-Pulse JAP2
12.03.2023 Shimizu S-Pulse Shimizu S-Pulse 0-0 HT 0-0 Oita Trinita Oita Trinita JAP2
04.07.2021 Shimizu S-Pulse Shimizu S-Pulse 1-0 HT 0-0 Oita Trinita Oita Trinita JAP
02.05.2021 Oita Trinita Oita Trinita 1-0 HT 1-0 Shimizu S-Pulse Shimizu S-Pulse JAP
03.10.2020 Oita Trinita Oita Trinita 2-1 HT 1-1 Shimizu S-Pulse Shimizu S-Pulse JAP
26.07.2020 Shimizu S-Pulse Shimizu S-Pulse 4-2 HT 1-0 Oita Trinita Oita Trinita JAP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Shimizu S-Pulse
2-0
AWAY Oita Trinita
58% Ball Possession 42%
13 Total Shots 7
9 Shots on Target 1
9 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Shimizu S-Pulse vs Oita Trinita
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Shimizu S-Pulse saw off Oita Trinita 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Shimizu S-Pulse as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Shimizu S-Pulse had 58% of the ball to Oita Trinita's 42%, shots finished 13-7.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Shimizu S-Pulse had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Shimizu S-Pulse and 1.00 for Oita Trinita.

What was the final score of Shimizu S-Pulse vs Oita Trinita?

Shimizu S-Pulse 2-0 Oita Trinita in the Japan - J2 League on 16/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Shimizu S-Pulse vs Oita Trinita?

Before kick-off our model rated a Shimizu S-Pulse win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Shimizu S-Pulse 46%, draw 29%, Oita Trinita 25%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Shimizu S-Pulse), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Shimizu S-Pulse) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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