Cruz Azul U23 0-1 Necaxa U23 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Mexico - Primera A, 16 Mar 2024

Cruz Azul U23
0-1
Necaxa U23
📅16/03/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 3-1 ✗
Mexico - Primera A – 2023/2024

Cruz Azul U23 vs Necaxa U23 Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
58%
1.49
Draw
23%
4.08
Away
19%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
Over 2.5
55%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
No
48%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
15%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
34%
1/2
4%
1/X
8%
X/1
20%
X/2
8%
X/X
8%
2/1
5%
2/2
6%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
58%
Home Win
63%
-4.8pp
24%
Draw
21%
+2.2pp
19%
Away Win
16%
+2.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Cruz Azul U23 v Necaxa U23 — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cruz Azul U23 EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Necaxa U23 EU Bookmakers 19%
-26% / -26% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+10% / -13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) – / –
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
330 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 251 · 73%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –
POST-MATCH Cruz Azul U23 vs Necaxa U23
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Necaxa U23 nicked a narrow win over Cruz Azul U23 1-0 away from home.

This one beat our numbers. Cruz Azul U23 carried 58% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Cruz Azul U23 vs Necaxa U23?

Cruz Azul U23 0-1 Necaxa U23 in the Mexico - Primera A on 16/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cruz Azul U23 vs Necaxa U23?

Before kick-off our model rated a Cruz Azul U23 win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Cruz Azul U23 58%, draw 24%, Necaxa U23 19%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Cruz Azul U23) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
MEK2 More Mexico - Primera A
16 Mar 2024
18:00 Toluca U23 vs Pumas UNAM U23 Analysis →
18:00 Tigres UANL U23 vs Mazatlan U23 Analysis →