Santa Lucia 2-0 Valletta — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Malta - Premier League, 16 Mar 2024

Santa Lucia
2-0 HT 1-0
Valletta
📅16/03/2024 · 🕒18:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Malta - Premier League – 2023/2024

Santa Lucia vs Valletta Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
3.46
Draw
26%
3.11
Away
45%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.59
Over 2.5
42%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
2.03
No
60%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
4%
1/X
10%
X/1
4%
X/2
22%
X/X
11%
2/1
10%
2/2
19%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
26%
+3.6pp
26%
Draw
29%
-3.1pp
45%
Away Win
46%
-0.5pp
58%
Under 2.5
59%
-0.6pp
42%
Over 2.5
41%
+0.6pp
40%
BTTS Yes
45%
-5.3pp
60%
BTTS No
55%
+5.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Santa Lucia v Valletta — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Santa Lucia EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Valletta EU Bookmakers 49%
-11% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -20% / -20%
0.81/1.47 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.09/1.26
-7% / +3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -33% / -36%
48% Ball Possession 52%
8 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
306 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 382 · 80%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.5 Yellow Cards 3.0

Santa Lucia vs Valletta Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Santa Lucia
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Valletta
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
48% Ball Possession 52%
9 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
26.11.2023 Valletta Valletta 1-1 HT 0-0 Santa Lucia Santa Lucia MLTP
10.04.2023 Valletta Valletta 0-1 HT 0-1 Santa Lucia Santa Lucia MLTP
12.11.2022 Santa Lucia Santa Lucia 0-2 HT 0-1 Valletta Valletta MLTP
10.05.2022 Santa Lucia Santa Lucia 0-1 HT 0-0 Valletta Valletta MLTAK
06.05.2022 Valletta Valletta 2-1 HT 0-0 Santa Lucia Santa Lucia MLTP
20.02.2022 Santa Lucia Santa Lucia 2-1 HT 1-0 Valletta Valletta MLTP

Santa Lucia 2-0 Valletta — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Santa Lucia
2-0
AWAY Valletta
35% Ball Possession 65%
4 Total Shots 8
2 Shots on Target 3
0 Corners 11
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Santa Lucia vs Valletta
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Santa Lucia got the better of Valletta 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match lean was Valletta at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (60%) came in.

On the day, Santa Lucia had 35% of the ball to Valletta's 65%, shots finished 4-8.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Valletta led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Santa Lucia and 1.17 for Valletta.

What was the final score of Santa Lucia vs Valletta?

Santa Lucia 2-0 Valletta in the Malta - Premier League on 16/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Santa Lucia vs Valletta?

Before kick-off our model rated an Valletta win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Santa Lucia 29%, draw 26%, Valletta 45%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Valletta) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Valletta) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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