Nieciecza 1-4 Resovia Rzeszow — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - 1st Division, 16 Mar 2024

📅16/03/2024 · 🕒14:40 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.64
Draw
26%
3.8
Away
27%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.07
Over 2.5
48%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.73
No
49%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
26%
3.95
2-3 Goals
42%
1.84
4-5 Goals
22%
3.14
6+ Goals
10%
10.35
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.95 — our 26% vs market 20.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
19%
X/2
9%
X/X
13%
2/1
12%
2/2
12%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
57%
-10.0pp
26%
Draw
23%
+2.5pp
27%
Away Win
20%
+7.4pp
52%
Under 2.5
44%
+7.6pp
48%
Over 2.5
56%
-7.6pp
51%
BTTS Yes
54%
-2.5pp
49%
BTTS No
46%
+2.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Nieciecza EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Resovia Rzeszow EU Bookmakers 23%
+2% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +2%
1.82/0.95 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.06/1.64
+13% / +0% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +7% / -8%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
349 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 274 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Nieciecza
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Resovia Rzeszow
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
56% Ball Possession 44%
12 Total Shots 10
8 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 6
4 Yellow Cards 2
01.09.2023 Resovia Rzeszow Resovia Rzeszow 0-4 HT 0-1 Nieciecza Nieciecza POL1
27.05.2023 Resovia Rzeszow Resovia Rzeszow 1-2 HT 1-0 Nieciecza Nieciecza POL1
28.10.2022 Nieciecza Nieciecza 3-0 HT 3-0 Resovia Rzeszow Resovia Rzeszow POL1
20.03.2021 Resovia Rzeszow Resovia Rzeszow 3-1 HT 0-1 Nieciecza Nieciecza POL1
19.09.2020 Nieciecza Nieciecza 2-0 HT 1-0 Resovia Rzeszow Resovia Rzeszow POL1
29.06.2019 Nieciecza Nieciecza 1-2 HT 1-1 Resovia Rzeszow Resovia Rzeszow HAZ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Nieciecza
1-4
AWAY Resovia Rzeszow
35% Ball Possession 65%
5 Total Shots 20
2 Shots on Target 11
5 Corners 7
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Nieciecza vs Resovia Rzeszow
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Resovia Rzeszow cruised past Nieciecza 4-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Nieciecza at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Nieciecza had 35% of the ball to Resovia Rzeszow's 65%, shots finished 5-20.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Nieciecza had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Nieciecza and 1.00 for Resovia Rzeszow.

What was the final score of Nieciecza vs Resovia Rzeszow?

Nieciecza 1-4 Resovia Rzeszow in the Poland - 1st Division on 16/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Nieciecza vs Resovia Rzeszow?

Before kick-off our model rated a Nieciecza win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Nieciecza 47%, draw 26%, Resovia Rzeszow 27%. The final score 1-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Nieciecza), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Nieciecza) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
POL1 More Poland - 1st Division
16 Mar 2024
17:00 Tychy 71 vs Chrobry Glogow Analysis →
19:30 Stal Rzeszow vs Motor Lublin Analysis →