Stal Rzeszow 2-1 Motor Lublin — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - 1st Division, 16 Mar 2024

📅16/03/2024 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.67
Draw
26%
3.28
Away
39%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.86
Over 2.5
45%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.7
No
53%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
31%
3.26
2-3 Goals
39%
1.78
4-5 Goals
22%
3.61
6+ Goals
8%
14.6
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.26 — our 31% vs market 25.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
11%
X/2
13%
X/X
10%
2/1
6%
2/2
19%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
34%
+0.6pp
27%
Draw
27%
-0.7pp
39%
Away Win
39%
+0.0pp
55%
Under 2.5
50%
+5.4pp
45%
Over 2.5
50%
-5.4pp
47%
BTTS Yes
55%
-7.5pp
53%
BTTS No
45%
+7.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Stal Rzeszow EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Motor Lublin EU Bookmakers 43%
+8% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -3%
2.21/1.36 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.48/0.52
+71% / -13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -63% / +118%
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
309 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 326 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Stal Rzeszow
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Motor Lublin
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 8
2 Yellow Cards 1
20.01.2024 Stal Rzeszow Stal Rzeszow 2-0 Motor Lublin Motor Lublin HAZ
03.09.2023 Motor Lublin Motor Lublin 3-2 HT 1-1 Stal Rzeszow Stal Rzeszow POL1
07.05.2022 Stal Rzeszow Stal Rzeszow 1-1 HT 1-1 Motor Lublin Motor Lublin POL2
31.10.2021 Motor Lublin Motor Lublin 0-2 HT 0-1 Stal Rzeszow Stal Rzeszow POL2
02.05.2021 Stal Rzeszow Stal Rzeszow 1-3 HT 1-0 Motor Lublin Motor Lublin POL2
07.11.2020 Motor Lublin Motor Lublin 1-0 HT 0-0 Stal Rzeszow Stal Rzeszow POL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Stal Rzeszow
2-1
AWAY Motor Lublin
39% Ball Possession 61%
7 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 12
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Stal Rzeszow vs Motor Lublin
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Stal Rzeszow squeezed past Motor Lublin 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 27% / 39% — and on the day Stal Rzeszow made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Stal Rzeszow had 39% of the ball to Motor Lublin's 61%, shots finished 7-9.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Motor Lublin led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Stal Rzeszow and 1.33 for Motor Lublin.

What was the final score of Stal Rzeszow vs Motor Lublin?

Stal Rzeszow 2-1 Motor Lublin in the Poland - 1st Division on 16/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Stal Rzeszow vs Motor Lublin?

Before kick-off our model rated an Motor Lublin win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Stal Rzeszow 35%, draw 27%, Motor Lublin 39%. The final score 2-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Motor Lublin) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
POL1 More Poland - 1st Division
16 Mar 2024
14:40 Nieciecza vs Resovia Rzeszow Analysis →
17:00 Tychy 71 vs Chrobry Glogow Analysis →