Radomiak Radom 0-2 Jagiellonia Bialystok — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - Ekstraklasa, 16 Mar 2024

Radomiak Radom
0-2 HT 0-1
Jagiellonia Bialystok
📅16/03/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-2 ✗
Poland - Ekstraklasa – 2023/2024

Radomiak Radom vs Jagiellonia Bialystok Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.8
Draw
26%
3.11
Away
40%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
1.78
Over 2.5
54%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.75
No
43%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
3.04
2-3 Goals
41%
1.78
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
25%
3.83
6+ Goals
11%
16.8
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.83 — our 25% vs market 20.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
4.4
1/2
8%
28.5
1/X
7%
12.85
X/1
8%
6.18
X/2
20%
5.12
X/X
12%
4.22
2/1
12%
33.5
2/2
12%
3.36
2/X
7%
12.65
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
32%
+1.4pp
26%
Draw
29%
-2.7pp
40%
Away Win
39%
+1.4pp
46%
Under 2.5
52%
-6.0pp
54%
Over 2.5
48%
+6.0pp
57%
BTTS Yes
53%
+3.9pp
43%
BTTS No
47%
-3.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Radomiak Radom v Jagiellonia Bialystok — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Radomiak Radom EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Jagiellonia Bialystok EU Bookmakers 43%
-14% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +0%
1.24/1.75 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.80/1.56
-26% / -31% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +51% / -25%
46% Ball Possession 54%
14 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
279 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 367 · 79%
17.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.3
18.0 Crosses 13.7
2.7 Yellow Cards 3.0

Radomiak Radom vs Jagiellonia Bialystok Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Radomiak Radom
1W-3D-1L
AWAY Jagiellonia Bialystok
1.40 Avg Goals (FT) 1.40
1.23 xG 1.16
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
300 Passes 266
76% Pass Accuracy 73%
23 Box Touches 16
20 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
17.09.2023 Jagiellonia Bialystok Jagiellonia Bialystok 3-2 HT 2-2 Radomiak Radom Radomiak Radom POL
20.02.2023 Radomiak Radom Radomiak Radom 0-0 HT 0-0 Jagiellonia Bialystok Jagiellonia Bialystok POL
06.08.2022 Jagiellonia Bialystok Jagiellonia Bialystok 1-2 HT 1-0 Radomiak Radom Radomiak Radom POL
11.04.2022 Radomiak Radom Radomiak Radom 2-2 HT 1-0 Jagiellonia Bialystok Jagiellonia Bialystok POL
18.10.2021 Jagiellonia Bialystok Jagiellonia Bialystok 1-1 HT 1-1 Radomiak Radom Radomiak Radom POL

Radomiak Radom 0-2 Jagiellonia Bialystok — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Radomiak Radom
0-2
AWAY Jagiellonia Bialystok
1.99 xG 1.08
49% Ball Possession 51%
18 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 5
280 Passes 299
78% Pass Accuracy 78%
35 Box Touches 15
29 Crosses 13
5 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Radomiak Radom vs Jagiellonia Bialystok
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Jagiellonia Bialystok saw off Radomiak Radom 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (34% / 26% / 40%) promised a tight game; Jagiellonia Bialystok found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — both teams to score (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Radomiak Radom had 49% of the ball to Jagiellonia Bialystok's 51%, shots finished 18-10, expected goals 1.99 to 1.08 — on chances, Radomiak Radom could feel hard done by.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.40 goals for Radomiak Radom and 1.40 for Jagiellonia Bialystok.

What was the final score of Radomiak Radom vs Jagiellonia Bialystok?

Radomiak Radom 0-2 Jagiellonia Bialystok in the Poland - Ekstraklasa on 16/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Radomiak Radom vs Jagiellonia Bialystok?

Before kick-off our model rated an Jagiellonia Bialystok win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Radomiak Radom 34%, draw 26%, Jagiellonia Bialystok 40%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Jagiellonia Bialystok) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Jagiellonia Bialystok) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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