Ruch Chorzow 1-2 Gornik Zabrze — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - Ekstraklasa, 16 Mar 2024

Ruch Chorzow
1-2 HT 0-1
Gornik Zabrze
📅16/03/2024 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Poland - Ekstraklasa – 2023/2024

Ruch Chorzow vs Gornik Zabrze Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.46
Draw
29%
3.11
Away
35%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.75
Over 2.5
48%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.76
No
50%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2.96
2-3 Goals
40%
1.77
4-5 Goals
23%
3.94
6+ Goals
10%
17.9
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
3.73
1/2
8%
31.5
1/X
7%
12.95
X/1
10%
5.42
X/2
11%
5.63
X/X
15%
4.19
2/1
11%
30.5
2/2
16%
3.94
2/X
7%
13.0
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
37%
-1.2pp
29%
Draw
29%
+0.5pp
35%
Away Win
34%
+0.8pp
52%
Under 2.5
53%
-1.5pp
48%
Over 2.5
47%
+1.5pp
50%
BTTS Yes
53%
-2.7pp
50%
BTTS No
47%
+2.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Ruch Chorzow v Gornik Zabrze — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ruch Chorzow EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Gornik Zabrze EU Bookmakers 38%
+2% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +6%
1.37/0.94 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.58/1.19
-24% / +58% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +19% / -9%
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
306 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 347 · 79%
20.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 25.1
19.0 Crosses 18.9
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.4

Ruch Chorzow vs Gornik Zabrze Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ruch Chorzow
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Gornik Zabrze
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.82 xG 1.13
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
208 Passes 306
71% Pass Accuracy 76%
14 Box Touches 22
18 Crosses 27
4 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
15.09.2023 Gornik Zabrze Gornik Zabrze 1-0 HT 0-0 Ruch Chorzow Ruch Chorzow POL
01.09.2022 Ruch Chorzow Ruch Chorzow 0-1 HT 0-1 Gornik Zabrze Gornik Zabrze POLK
21.02.2016 Gornik Zabrze Gornik Zabrze 0-2 HT 0-1 Ruch Chorzow Ruch Chorzow POL
13.09.2015 Ruch Chorzow Ruch Chorzow 1-0 HT 1-0 Gornik Zabrze Gornik Zabrze POL
06.04.2015 Gornik Zabrze Gornik Zabrze 2-2 HT 1-1 Ruch Chorzow Ruch Chorzow POL
04.10.2014 Ruch Chorzow Ruch Chorzow 1-2 HT 1-1 Gornik Zabrze Gornik Zabrze POL

Ruch Chorzow 1-2 Gornik Zabrze — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ruch Chorzow
1-2
AWAY Gornik Zabrze
1.72 xG 0.57
55% Ball Possession 45%
23 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 4
9 Corners 2
391 Passes 332
82% Pass Accuracy 80%
33 Box Touches 8
37 Crosses 7
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Ruch Chorzow vs Gornik Zabrze
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gornik Zabrze squeezed past Ruch Chorzow 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (36% / 29% / 35%) promised a tight game; Gornik Zabrze found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Ruch Chorzow had 55% of the ball to Gornik Zabrze's 45%, shots finished 23-8, expected goals 1.72 to 0.57 — on chances, Ruch Chorzow could feel hard done by.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Gornik Zabrze led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Ruch Chorzow and 1.00 for Gornik Zabrze.

What was the final score of Ruch Chorzow vs Gornik Zabrze?

Ruch Chorzow 1-2 Gornik Zabrze in the Poland - Ekstraklasa on 16/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ruch Chorzow vs Gornik Zabrze?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ruch Chorzow win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Ruch Chorzow 36%, draw 29%, Gornik Zabrze 35%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Ruch Chorzow) ✗ Under 2.5
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