Nafta 2-0 Ajdovscina Skou — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Slovenia - 2.SNL, 16 Mar 2024

📅16/03/2024 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.47
Draw
25%
3.28
Away
34%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.9
Over 2.5
44%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
1.68
No
59%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
9%
X/2
11%
X/X
16%
2/1
7%
2/2
16%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS No ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
37%
+4.0pp
25%
Draw
27%
-1.7pp
34%
Away Win
36%
-2.4pp
56%
Under 2.5
49%
+6.7pp
44%
Over 2.5
51%
-6.7pp
41%
BTTS Yes
56%
-14.2pp
59%
BTTS No
44%
+14.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Nafta EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Ajdovscina Skou EU Bookmakers 40%
+2% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +4%
2.60/1.93 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.34/0.99
+74% / -27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -9% / +60%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
316 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 365 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.2 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Nafta
1W-1D-2L
AWAY Ajdovscina Skou
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
49% Ball Possession 51%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 3
02.09.2023 Ajdovscina Skou 3-0 HT 1-0 Nafta Nafta SLVN2
13.11.2022 Nafta Nafta 2-4 HT 0-2 Ajdovscina Skou SLVN2
30.07.2022 Ajdovscina Skou 0-3 HT 0-1 Nafta Nafta SLVN2
05.03.2022 Ajdovscina Skou 1-1 HT 1-1 Nafta Nafta SLVN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Nafta
2-0
AWAY Ajdovscina Skou
48% Ball Possession 52%
5 Total Shots 17
4 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Nafta vs Ajdovscina Skou
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Nafta saw off Ajdovscina Skou 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Nafta as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (56%), no to both teams scoring (59%) came in.

On the day, Nafta had 48% of the ball to Ajdovscina Skou's 52%, shots finished 5-17.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Ajdovscina Skou led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Nafta and 2.00 for Ajdovscina Skou.

What was the final score of Nafta vs Ajdovscina Skou?

Nafta 2-0 Ajdovscina Skou in the Slovenia - 2.SNL on 16/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Nafta vs Ajdovscina Skou?

Before kick-off our model rated a Nafta win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Nafta 41%, draw 25%, Ajdovscina Skou 34%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Nafta), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Nafta) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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