Al Safa 3-1 Al Faisaly — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Saudi Arabia - 1st Division, 16 Mar 2024

Al Safa
3-1 HT 2-0
Al Faisaly
📅16/03/2024 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Saudi Arabia - 1st Division – 2023/2024

Al Safa vs Al Faisaly Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
3.29
Draw
32%
3.28
Away
28%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.62
Over 2.5
44%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.96
No
48%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
46%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
10%
1/X
10%
X/1
15%
X/2
9%
X/X
14%
2/1
10%
2/2
9%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
27%
+12.6pp
32%
Draw
27%
+4.8pp
28%
Away Win
46%
-17.5pp
56%
Under 2.5
58%
-2.4pp
44%
Over 2.5
42%
+2.4pp
52%
BTTS Yes
47%
+4.6pp
48%
BTTS No
53%
-4.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Al Safa v Al Faisaly — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Safa EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Faisaly EU Bookmakers 49%
-26% / -26% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -2%
0.35/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.23/1.14
-66% / +29% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -12% / -6%
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
239 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 318 · 77%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
0.7 Yellow Cards 1.5

Al Safa vs Al Faisaly Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Safa
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Al Faisaly
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
48% Ball Possession 52%
6 Total Shots 16
2 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 8
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
12.11.2023 Al Faisaly Al Faisaly 2-0 HT 0-0 Al Safa Al Safa SUUD1

Al Safa 3-1 Al Faisaly — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Safa
3-1
AWAY Al Faisaly
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 1
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Al Safa vs Al Faisaly
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Safa beat Al Faisaly 3-1. Half-time: 2-0.

Our pre-match split (40% / 32% / 28%) promised a tight game; Al Safa found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Al Safa had 50% of the ball to Al Faisaly's 50%, shots finished 11-13.

What was the final score of Al Safa vs Al Faisaly?

Al Safa 3-1 Al Faisaly in the Saudi Arabia - 1st Division on 16/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Safa vs Al Faisaly?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Safa win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Al Safa 40%, draw 32%, Al Faisaly 28%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Safa), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Al Safa) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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