Hajer 3-1 Al-Jandal — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Saudi Arabia - 1st Division, 16 Mar 2024

📅16/03/2024 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.05
Draw
29%
3.18
Away
29%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.64
Over 2.5
39%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.9
No
56%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
15%
X/2
14%
X/X
18%
2/1
8%
2/2
10%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
45%
-2.5pp
28%
Draw
28%
+0.6pp
29%
Away Win
27%
+1.9pp
61%
Under 2.5
57%
+4.1pp
39%
Over 2.5
43%
-4.1pp
44%
BTTS Yes
49%
-4.9pp
56%
BTTS No
51%
+4.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hajer EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Al-Jandal EU Bookmakers 31%
-6% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
0.99/1.02 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.60/1.01
-29% / -12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -38% / +22%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
272 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 277 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hajer
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Al-Jandal
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
61% Ball Possession 39%
2 Total Shots 5
0 Shots on Target 1
1 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 1
31.10.2023 Al-Jandal Al-Jandal 0-0 HT 0-0 Hajer Hajer SUUD1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hajer
3-1
AWAY Al-Jandal
37% Ball Possession 63%
9 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 8
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Hajer vs Al-Jandal
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hajer beat Al-Jandal 3-1. Half-time: 3-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Hajer as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Hajer had 37% of the ball to Al-Jandal's 63%, shots finished 9-10.

What was the final score of Hajer vs Al-Jandal?

Hajer 3-1 Al-Jandal in the Saudi Arabia - 1st Division on 16/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hajer vs Al-Jandal?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hajer win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Hajer 42%, draw 28%, Al-Jandal 29%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Hajer) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Hajer) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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