16/03/2024
·
22:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
1-1
2nd Score
2-0
Al Ansar vs Al-Sadd Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
51%
Over
49%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
No
50%
Total Goals
0-1
28%
2-3
39%
4-5
23%
6+
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
4%
1/X
16%
X/1
18%
X/2
12%
X/X
8%
2/1
3%
2/2
8%
2/X
4%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 51% ✗
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Selection
The Market
48%
Home Win
54%
27%
Draw
24%
25%
Away Win
22%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Al Ansar v Al-Sadd — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Al Ansar
The Market 58%
Head to Head
AWAY
Al-Sadd
The Market 25%
+0% /
+0%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
-2% /
-2%
–/–
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
–/–
–
/
–
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
-70%
/
+92%
53%
Ball Possession
47%
16
Total Shots
11
6
Shots on Target
4
6
Corners
4
330 · 78%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
287 · 74%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
Al Ansar vs Al-Sadd Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings
H2H
Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME
Al Ansar
0W-1D-0L
AWAY
Al-Sadd
2.00
Avg Goals (FT)
2.00
The Meetings
POST-MATCH
Al Ansar vs Al-Sadd
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Al Ansar swept aside Al-Sadd 3-0.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Al Ansar as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.
What was the final score of Al Ansar vs Al-Sadd?
Al Ansar 3-0 Al-Sadd in the Saudi Arabia - 2nd Division on 16/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Al Ansar vs Al-Sadd?
Before kick-off our model rated a Al Ansar win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Al Ansar 48%, draw 27%, Al-Sadd 25%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Ansar) — while Under 2.5 went the other way.
✓ Match Result (Al Ansar)
✗ Under 2.5
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16 Mar 2024