16/03/2024
·
22:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
2-1
2nd Score
1-2
Al Qous vs Al Shuaib Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Under
48%
Over Pick
52%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
No
50%
Total Goals
0-1
27%
2-3
45%
4-5
22%
6+
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
34%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
7%
X/2
9%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
14%
2/X
4%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our Pick
Over 2.5 — 52% ✗
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH
Home Win
— pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Selection
The Market
48%
Home Win
80%
24%
Draw
13%
28%
Away Win
7%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Al Qous v Al Shuaib — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Al Qous
The Market 85%
Head to Head
AWAY
Al Shuaib
The Market 9%
+0% /
+0%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+0% /
+0%
–/–
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
–/–
–
/
–
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
–
/
–
60%
Ball Possession
40%
15
Total Shots
9
6
Shots on Target
3
7
Corners
4
472 · 85%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
222 · 72%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
POST-MATCH
Al Qous vs Al Shuaib
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Al Qous edged past Al Shuaib 1-0.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Al Qous as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.
What was the final score of Al Qous vs Al Shuaib?
Al Qous 1-0 Al Shuaib in the Saudi Arabia - 2nd Division on 16/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Al Qous vs Al Shuaib?
Before kick-off our model rated a Al Qous win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Al Qous 48%, draw 24%, Al Shuaib 28%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Qous) — while Over 2.5 went the other way.
✓ Match Result (Al Qous)
✗ Over 2.5
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SUUD2
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16 Mar 2024