Al Fateh 2-4 Al Ittihad-Jeddah — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League, 16 Mar 2024

Al Fateh
2-4 HT 1-2
Al Ittihad-Jeddah
📅16/03/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League – 2023/2024

Al Fateh vs Al Ittihad-Jeddah Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
3.69
Draw
24%
3.54
Away
49%
1.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.07
Over 2.5
48%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.66
No
56%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
31%
3.95
2-3 Goals
43%
1.84
4-5 Goals
19%
3.13
6+ Goals
7%
10.35
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.95 — our 31% vs market 20.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
11%
X/2
18%
X/X
12%
2/1
4%
2/2
27%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
24%
+3.7pp
24%
Draw
25%
-0.6pp
49%
Away Win
52%
-3.0pp
52%
Under 2.5
44%
+7.4pp
48%
Over 2.5
56%
-7.4pp
44%
BTTS Yes
56%
-12.0pp
56%
BTTS No
44%
+12.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Al Fateh v Al Ittihad-Jeddah — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Fateh EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Ittihad-Jeddah EU Bookmakers 56%
+12% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +13%
1.65/1.91 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.72/1.16
+61% / -32% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +22% / -2%
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
313 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 368 · 80%
23.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 26.0
16.6 Crosses 17.5
1.9 Yellow Cards 1.8

Al Fateh vs Al Ittihad-Jeddah Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Fateh
0W-1D-5L
AWAY Al Ittihad-Jeddah
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 3.33
0.93 xG 2.20
55% Ball Possession 45%
10 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 5
342 Passes 260
82% Pass Accuracy 79%
19 Box Touches 26
14 Crosses 16
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
21.09.2023 Al Ittihad-Jeddah Al Ittihad-Jeddah 2-1 HT 2-1 Al Fateh Al Fateh SUUD
18.03.2023 Al Fateh Al Fateh 1-5 HT 1-1 Al Ittihad-Jeddah Al Ittihad-Jeddah SUUD
07.10.2022 Al Ittihad-Jeddah Al Ittihad-Jeddah 3-1 HT 1-0 Al Fateh Al Fateh SUUD
06.05.2022 Al Fateh Al Fateh 4-4 HT 2-3 Al Ittihad-Jeddah Al Ittihad-Jeddah SUUD
20.12.2021 Al Fateh Al Fateh 2-3 HT 2-1 Al Ittihad-Jeddah Al Ittihad-Jeddah SAKK
04.11.2021 Al Ittihad-Jeddah Al Ittihad-Jeddah 3-0 HT 2-0 Al Fateh Al Fateh SUUD

Al Fateh 2-4 Al Ittihad-Jeddah — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Fateh
2-4
AWAY Al Ittihad-Jeddah
1.61 xG 3.05
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 17
4 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 9
306 Passes 357
80% Pass Accuracy 84%
14 Box Touches 46
12 Crosses 32
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Al Fateh vs Al Ittihad-Jeddah
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Ittihad-Jeddah got the better of Al Fateh 4-2 away from home. Half-time: 1-2. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Al Ittihad-Jeddah as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 4-2 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Al Fateh had 47% of the ball to Al Ittihad-Jeddah's 53%, shots finished 12-17, expected goals 1.61 to 3.05.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Al Ittihad-Jeddah led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Al Fateh and 3.33 for Al Ittihad-Jeddah.

What was the final score of Al Fateh vs Al Ittihad-Jeddah?

Al Fateh 2-4 Al Ittihad-Jeddah in the Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League on 16/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Fateh vs Al Ittihad-Jeddah?

Before kick-off our model rated an Al Ittihad-Jeddah win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Al Fateh 27%, draw 24%, Al Ittihad-Jeddah 49%. The final score 2-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Ittihad-Jeddah) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Al Ittihad-Jeddah) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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