Al Hilal Riyadh 2-1 Damac FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League, 16 Mar 2024

📅16/03/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
63%
1.22
Draw
20%
5.71
Away
17%
8.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.63
Over 2.5
57%
1.44
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.99
No
52%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
6.13
2-3 Goals
42%
2.08
4-5 Goals
27%
2.56
6+ Goals
11%
5.62
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
39%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
15%
X/2
5%
X/X
9%
2/1
10%
2/2
6%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ BTTS No ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
63%
Home Win
77%
-14.2pp
19%
Draw
14%
+5.1pp
17%
Away Win
8%
+9.0pp
43%
Under 2.5
34%
+9.0pp
57%
Over 2.5
66%
-9.0pp
48%
BTTS Yes
46%
+1.9pp
52%
BTTS No
54%
-1.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Hilal Riyadh EU Bookmakers 82%
Head to Head
AWAY Damac FC EU Bookmakers 11%
-2% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -5%
2.61/0.70 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.18/1.70
+3% / +22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / +5%
62% Ball Possession 38%
17 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
459 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 254 · 76%
40.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.5
24.9 Crosses 15.7
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Hilal Riyadh
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Damac FC
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
2.10 xG 1.24
66% Ball Possession 34%
14 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
541 Passes 242
87% Pass Accuracy 74%
35 Box Touches 16
25 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 2
21.09.2023 Damac FC Damac FC 1-1 HT 0-1 Al Hilal Riyadh Al Hilal Riyadh SUUD
19.05.2023 Damac FC Damac FC 0-1 HT 0-0 Al Hilal Riyadh Al Hilal Riyadh SUUD
31.12.2022 Al Hilal Riyadh Al Hilal Riyadh 2-2 HT 1-0 Damac FC Damac FC SUUD
07.05.2022 Damac FC Damac FC 2-4 HT 2-1 Al Hilal Riyadh Al Hilal Riyadh SUUD
04.11.2021 Al Hilal Riyadh Al Hilal Riyadh 2-0 HT 0-0 Damac FC Damac FC SUUD
14.02.2021 Damac FC Damac FC 1-0 HT 1-0 Al Hilal Riyadh Al Hilal Riyadh SUUD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Hilal Riyadh
2-1
AWAY Damac FC
1.22 xG 0.56
64% Ball Possession 36%
18 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 2
10 Corners 5
416 Passes 210
84% Pass Accuracy 72%
60 Box Touches 8
36 Crosses 8
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Al Hilal Riyadh vs Damac FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Hilal Riyadh squeezed past Damac FC 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Al Hilal Riyadh as the likeliest winner at 63%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (57%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Al Hilal Riyadh had 64% of the ball to Damac FC's 36%, shots finished 18-9, expected goals 1.22 to 0.56.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Al Hilal Riyadh had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Al Hilal Riyadh and 1.00 for Damac FC.

What was the final score of Al Hilal Riyadh vs Damac FC?

Al Hilal Riyadh 2-1 Damac FC in the Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League on 16/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Hilal Riyadh vs Damac FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Hilal Riyadh win the most likely single outcome at about 63%, with the full match-result split Al Hilal Riyadh 63%, draw 19%, Damac FC 17%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Hilal Riyadh), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Al Hilal Riyadh) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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