Kryvbas KR 1-0 Kolos Kovalivka — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ukraine - Premier League, 16 Mar 2024

📅16/03/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.92
Draw
26%
3.11
Away
30%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.48
Over 2.5
38%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.19
No
56%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
4%
1/X
11%
X/1
15%
X/2
11%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
15%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
48%
-4.0pp
26%
Draw
28%
-2.7pp
30%
Away Win
24%
+6.8pp
62%
Under 2.5
64%
-2.0pp
38%
Over 2.5
36%
+2.0pp
44%
BTTS Yes
42%
+2.9pp
56%
BTTS No
58%
-2.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kryvbas KR EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Kolos Kovalivka EU Bookmakers 27%
-8% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +14%
1.12/1.08 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.86/1.04
-28% / -14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -10% / +17%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
324 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 239 · 68%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 3.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kryvbas KR
2W-0D-1L
AWAY Kolos Kovalivka
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
6 Corners 0
03.09.2023 Kolos Kovalivka Kolos Kovalivka 0-3 HT 0-1 Kryvbas KR Kryvbas KR UKR
03.03.2023 Kryvbas KR Kryvbas KR 1-0 HT 0-0 Kolos Kovalivka Kolos Kovalivka UKR
23.08.2022 Kolos Kovalivka Kolos Kovalivka 1-0 HT 1-0 Kryvbas KR Kryvbas KR UKR
POST-MATCH Kryvbas KR vs Kolos Kovalivka
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kryvbas KR edged past Kolos Kovalivka 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Kryvbas KR as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (56%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Kryvbas KR had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Kryvbas KR and 0.33 for Kolos Kovalivka.

What was the final score of Kryvbas KR vs Kolos Kovalivka?

Kryvbas KR 1-0 Kolos Kovalivka in the Ukraine - Premier League on 16/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kryvbas KR vs Kolos Kovalivka?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kryvbas KR win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Kryvbas KR 44%, draw 26%, Kolos Kovalivka 30%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Kryvbas KR), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Kryvbas KR) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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