Obolon Kyiv 1-0 Polessya — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ukraine - Premier League, 16 Mar 2024

Obolon Kyiv
1-0 HT 1-0
Polessya
📅16/03/2024 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Ukraine - Premier League – 2023/2024

Obolon Kyiv vs Polessya Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
22%
3.46
Draw
34%
3.04
Away
44%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
70%
1.44
Over 2.5
30%
2.63
Both Teams to Score
Yes
37%
2.29
No
63%
1.55
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
43%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
13%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
5%
1/2
6%
1/X
10%
X/1
13%
X/2
21%
X/X
20%
2/1
4%
2/2
17%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
22%
Home Win
26%
-3.5pp
34%
Draw
30%
+3.8pp
44%
Away Win
44%
-0.3pp
70%
Under 2.5
66%
+4.7pp
30%
Over 2.5
34%
-4.7pp
37%
BTTS Yes
40%
-2.6pp
63%
BTTS No
60%
+2.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Obolon Kyiv v Polessya — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Obolon Kyiv EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Polessya EU Bookmakers 48%
-10% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +25% / +25%
0.52/1.03 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.48/0.35
-49% / +45% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -1% / +150%
46% Ball Possession 54%
9 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
222 · 66% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 282 · 73%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

Obolon Kyiv vs Polessya Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Obolon Kyiv
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Polessya
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
5 Corners 2
The Meetings
02.09.2023 Polessya Polessya 2-0 HT 0-0 Obolon Kyiv Obolon Kyiv UKR
POST-MATCH Obolon Kyiv vs Polessya
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Obolon Kyiv edged past Polessya 1-0.

Our pre-match lean was Polessya at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (70%), no to both teams scoring (63%), and both reads landed as well.

What was the final score of Obolon Kyiv vs Polessya?

Obolon Kyiv 1-0 Polessya in the Ukraine - Premier League on 16/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Obolon Kyiv vs Polessya?

Before kick-off our model rated an Polessya win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Obolon Kyiv 22%, draw 34%, Polessya 44%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Polessya) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Polessya) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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