Metropolitanos 1-1 Estudiantes De Merida — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Venezuela - Premier League, 16 Mar 2024

📅16/03/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.76
Draw
27%
3.54
Away
22%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
1.8
Over 2.5
53%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.85
No
48%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
7%
1/X
9%
X/1
16%
X/2
7%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
8%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
53%
-1.4pp
27%
Draw
25%
+2.1pp
22%
Away Win
23%
-0.8pp
47%
Under 2.5
52%
-4.8pp
53%
Over 2.5
48%
+4.8pp
52%
BTTS Yes
50%
+2.0pp
48%
BTTS No
50%
-2.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Metropolitanos EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Estudiantes De Merida EU Bookmakers 26%
-1% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +8%
1.83/0.59 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.13/1.81
+5% / +15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +37% / -20%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
352 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 265 · 75%
26.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.9
29.4 Crosses 16.1
3.3 Yellow Cards 4.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Metropolitanos
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Estudiantes De Merida
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
0.44 xG 0.99
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
264 Passes 340
76% Pass Accuracy 83%
13 Crosses 27
4 Yellow Cards 4
30.07.2023 Metropolitanos Metropolitanos 0-1 HT 0-1 Estudiantes De Merida Estudiantes De Merida VEN
14.04.2023 Estudiantes De Merida Estudiantes De Merida 0-2 HT 0-0 Metropolitanos Metropolitanos VEN
13.08.2022 Metropolitanos Metropolitanos 2-0 HT 1-0 Estudiantes De Merida Estudiantes De Merida VEN
11.04.2022 Estudiantes De Merida Estudiantes De Merida 3-1 HT 1-1 Metropolitanos Metropolitanos VEN
16.03.2022 Metropolitanos Metropolitanos 4-0 HT 1-0 Estudiantes De Merida Estudiantes De Merida CON CSA
09.03.2022 Estudiantes De Merida Estudiantes De Merida 0-2 HT 0-1 Metropolitanos Metropolitanos CON CSA
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Metropolitanos
1-1
AWAY Estudiantes De Merida
1.31 xG 1.20
40% Ball Possession 60%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 6
8 Corners 6
221 Passes 390
78% Pass Accuracy 87%
35 Box Touches 18
26 Crosses 14
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Metropolitanos vs Estudiantes De Merida
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Metropolitanos and Estudiantes De Merida shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Metropolitanos at 51%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Metropolitanos had 40% of the ball to Estudiantes De Merida's 60%, shots finished 14-12, expected goals 1.31 to 1.20.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Metropolitanos had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Metropolitanos and 0.67 for Estudiantes De Merida.

What was the final score of Metropolitanos vs Estudiantes De Merida?

Metropolitanos 1-1 Estudiantes De Merida in the Venezuela - Premier League on 16/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Metropolitanos vs Estudiantes De Merida?

Before kick-off our model rated a Metropolitanos win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Metropolitanos 51%, draw 27%, Estudiantes De Merida 22%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Metropolitanos), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Metropolitanos) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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