UCV 1-1 Deportivo La Guaira — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Venezuela - Premier League, 16 Mar 2024

UCV
1-1 HT 1-1
Deportivo La Guaira
📅16/03/2024 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Venezuela - Premier League – 2024

UCV vs Deportivo La Guaira Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.25
Draw
30%
3.11
Away
28%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.6
Over 2.5
44%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.95
No
55%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
22%
X/2
11%
X/X
14%
2/1
6%
2/2
11%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
41%
+1.9pp
30%
Draw
29%
+1.1pp
28%
Away Win
30%
-2.8pp
56%
Under 2.5
59%
-3.1pp
44%
Over 2.5
41%
+3.1pp
45%
BTTS Yes
47%
-1.8pp
55%
BTTS No
53%
+1.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

UCV v Deportivo La Guaira — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME UCV EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Deportivo La Guaira EU Bookmakers 34%
+2% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / +5%
1.85/0.97 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.87/1.56
+23% / +2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -2% / -13%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
353 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 231 · 70%
17.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.6
17.8 Crosses 16.0
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.4

UCV vs Deportivo La Guaira Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME UCV
1W-3D-0L
AWAY Deportivo La Guaira
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.25
0.74 xG 0.72
42% Ball Possession 58%
6 Total Shots 9
2 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 4
208 Passes 386
75% Pass Accuracy 84%
8 Box Touches 12
12 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
30.09.2023 Deportivo La Guaira Deportivo La Guaira 0-0 HT 0-0 UCV UCV VEN
11.02.2023 UCV UCV 1-1 HT 0-1 Deportivo La Guaira Deportivo La Guaira VEN
12.09.2022 Deportivo La Guaira Deportivo La Guaira 0-1 HT 0-0 UCV UCV VEN
13.03.2022 UCV UCV 0-0 HT 0-0 Deportivo La Guaira Deportivo La Guaira VEN

UCV 1-1 Deportivo La Guaira — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME UCV
1-1
AWAY Deportivo La Guaira
1.36 xG 0.43
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 11
2 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 2
283 Passes 310
77% Pass Accuracy 76%
24 Box Touches 10
19 Crosses 10
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH UCV vs Deportivo La Guaira
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

UCV and Deportivo La Guaira couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was UCV at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (56%) landed while no to both teams scoring (55%) missed.

On the day, UCV had 48% of the ball to Deportivo La Guaira's 52%, shots finished 13-11, expected goals 1.36 to 0.43.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, UCV had the better of it with 1 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for UCV and 0.25 for Deportivo La Guaira.

What was the final score of UCV vs Deportivo La Guaira?

UCV 1-1 Deportivo La Guaira in the Venezuela - Premier League on 16/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for UCV vs Deportivo La Guaira?

Before kick-off our model rated a UCV win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split UCV 43%, draw 30%, Deportivo La Guaira 28%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (UCV), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (UCV) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
VEN More Venezuela - Premier League
16 Mar 2024
02:00 Angostura FC vs Deportivo Tachira Analysis →
22:00 Metropolitanos vs Estudiantes De Merida Analysis →