Tottenham Hotspur (K) 0-1 Brighton & Hove Albion (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Women's Premier League, 16 Mar 2025

📅16/03/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 0-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.12
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
29%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.03
Over 2.5
52%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.61
No
53%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
4%
1/X
8%
X/1
12%
X/2
14%
X/X
11%
2/1
11%
2/2
11%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
43%
+0.9pp
27%
Draw
26%
+0.5pp
29%
Away Win
31%
-1.4pp
48%
Under 2.5
45%
+2.4pp
52%
Over 2.5
55%
-2.4pp
47%
BTTS Yes
58%
-10.5pp
53%
BTTS No
42%
+10.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tottenham Hotspur (K) EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Brighton & Hove Albion (K) EU Bookmakers 34%
-59% / -59% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -40% / -40%
0.97/1.23 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.42/0.89
-7% / -48% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -31% / -23%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
313 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 283 · 78%
18.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.0
24.5 Crosses 7.0
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Tottenham Hotspur (K)
1W-2D-0L
AWAY Brighton & Hove Albion (K)
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.69 xG 0.95
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
348 Passes 338
78% Pass Accuracy 74%
25 Box Touches 33
12 Crosses 24
2 Yellow Cards 0
14.12.2024 Brighton & Hove Albion (K) Brighton & Hove Albion (K) 1-1 HT 0-0 Tottenham Hotspur (K) Tottenham Hotspur (K) İNKPL
28.04.2024 Tottenham Hotspur (K) Tottenham Hotspur (K) 1-1 HT 0-1 Brighton & Hove Albion (K) Brighton & Hove Albion (K) İNKPL
08.12.2019 Tottenham Hotspur (K) Tottenham Hotspur (K) 1-0 HT 0-0 Brighton & Hove Albion (K) Brighton & Hove Albion (K) İNKPL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Tottenham Hotspur (K)
0-1
AWAY Brighton & Hove Albion (K)
0.24 xG 1.48
44% Ball Possession 56%
3 Total Shots 15
0 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 9
251 Passes 361
67% Pass Accuracy 75%
8 Box Touches 37
18 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Tottenham Hotspur (K) vs Brighton & Hove Albion (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Brighton & Hove Albion (K) squeezed past Tottenham Hotspur (K) 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Tottenham Hotspur (K) at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Tottenham Hotspur (K) had 44% of the ball to Brighton & Hove Albion (K)'s 56%, shots finished 3-15, expected goals 0.24 to 1.48 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Brighton & Hove Albion (K)'s control.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Tottenham Hotspur (K) had the better of it with 1 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Tottenham Hotspur (K) and 0.67 for Brighton & Hove Albion (K).

What was the final score of Tottenham Hotspur (K) vs Brighton & Hove Albion (K)?

Tottenham Hotspur (K) 0-1 Brighton & Hove Albion (K) in the England - Women's Premier League on 16/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tottenham Hotspur (K) vs Brighton & Hove Albion (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Tottenham Hotspur (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Tottenham Hotspur (K) 44%, draw 27%, Brighton & Hove Albion (K) 29%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Tottenham Hotspur (K)), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Tottenham Hotspur (K)) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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