Biel-Bienne 2-0 Baden — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Switzerland - 1st Division Yükselme, 16 Mar 2025

📅16/03/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.47
Draw
28%
4.34
Away
24%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.23
Over 2.5
53%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.68
No
45%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
15%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
4%
1/X
8%
X/1
21%
X/2
10%
X/X
14%
2/1
7%
2/2
11%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
BTTS Yes — 55%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Over 2.5 Home Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
64%
-15.6pp
27%
Draw
20%
+7.4pp
24%
Away Win
16%
+8.2pp
47%
Under 2.5
41%
+6.0pp
53%
Over 2.5
59%
-6.0pp
55%
BTTS Yes
56%
-0.6pp
45%
BTTS No
44%
+0.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Biel-Bienne EU Bookmakers 68%
Head to Head
AWAY Baden EU Bookmakers 19%
+10% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
2.59/0.84 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.41/1.76
+28% / +44% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +12% / +15%
55% Ball Possession 45%
18 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
321 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 267 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards 3.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Biel-Bienne
1W-2D-0L
AWAY Baden
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
07.09.2024 Baden Baden 1-2 HT 0-0 Biel-Bienne Biel-Bienne İSV1Y
22.04.2023 Baden Baden 1-1 HT 1-1 Biel-Bienne Biel-Bienne İSV1Y
19.10.2022 Biel-Bienne Biel-Bienne 1-1 HT 1-1 Baden Baden İSV1Y
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Biel-Bienne
2-0
AWAY Baden
46% Ball Possession 54%
14 Total Shots 6
5 Shots on Target 1
6 Corners 3
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Biel-Bienne vs Baden
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Biel-Bienne beat Baden 2-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Biel-Bienne as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — both teams to score (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Biel-Bienne had 46% of the ball to Baden's 54%, shots finished 14-6.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Biel-Bienne had the better of it with 1 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Biel-Bienne and 1.00 for Baden.

What was the final score of Biel-Bienne vs Baden?

Biel-Bienne 2-0 Baden in the Switzerland - 1st Division Yükselme on 16/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Biel-Bienne vs Baden?

Before kick-off our model rated a Biel-Bienne win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Biel-Bienne 48%, draw 27%, Baden 24%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Biel-Bienne) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Biel-Bienne) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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