Inter Milano (K) 3-3 AC Milan (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italya - Women's Serie A, 16 Mar 2025

📅16/03/2025 · 🕒15:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
1.9
Draw
25%
3.45
Away
36%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
65%
1.95
Over 2.5
35%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
1.7
No
58%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
46%
4-5 Goals
14%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
3%
1/X
8%
X/1
13%
X/2
20%
X/X
11%
2/1
4%
2/2
13%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
49%
-9.8pp
25%
Draw
26%
-0.6pp
36%
Away Win
26%
+10.4pp
65%
Under 2.5
48%
+16.9pp
35%
Over 2.5
52%
-17.0pp
42%
BTTS Yes
55%
-12.5pp
58%
BTTS No
45%
+12.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Inter Milano (K) EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY AC Milan (K) EU Bookmakers 29%
-2% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +8%
2.16/1.26 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.75/1.25
+19% / -17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% /
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
350 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 304 · 75%
28.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 29.0
16.0 Crosses 8.0
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Inter Milano (K)
0W-2D-1L
AWAY AC Milan (K)
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.42 xG 0.87
56% Ball Possession 44%
16 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
341 Passes 253
77% Pass Accuracy 73%
26 Box Touches 23
17 Crosses 18
1 Yellow Cards 1
08.12.2024 AC Milan (K) AC Milan (K) 1-1 HT 0-1 Inter Milano (K) Inter Milano (K) İTKSA
22.09.2024 Inter Milano (K) Inter Milano (K) 1-1 HT 0-0 AC Milan (K) AC Milan (K) İTKSA
18.02.2024 AC Milan (K) AC Milan (K) 2-1 HT 2-1 Inter Milano (K) Inter Milano (K) İTKSA
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Inter Milano (K)
3-3
AWAY AC Milan (K)
2.75 xG 1.13
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 4
9 Corners 5
288 Passes 236
77% Pass Accuracy 73%
43 Box Touches 23
28 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Inter Milano (K) vs AC Milan (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Inter Milano (K) and AC Milan (K) shared the points in a 3-3 draw. It was 2-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (39% / 25% / 36%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (65%), no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Inter Milano (K) had 54% of the ball to AC Milan (K)'s 46%, shots finished 14-8, expected goals 2.75 to 1.13.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, AC Milan (K) led the recent series with 1 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Inter Milano (K) and 1.33 for AC Milan (K).

What was the final score of Inter Milano (K) vs AC Milan (K)?

Inter Milano (K) 3-3 AC Milan (K) in the Italya - Women's Serie A on 16/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Inter Milano (K) vs AC Milan (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Inter Milano (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Inter Milano (K) 39%, draw 25%, AC Milan (K) 36%. The final score 3-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Inter Milano (K)) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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