AC Milan (K) 2-1 Inter Milano (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italya - Women's Serie A, 18 Feb 2024

📅18/02/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.38
Draw
22%
3.45
Away
40%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
38%
2.15
Over 2.5
62%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.55
No
45%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
7%
1/X
3%
X/1
7%
X/2
11%
X/X
13%
2/1
3%
2/2
22%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
38%
+0.1pp
22%
Draw
26%
-3.5pp
40%
Away Win
36%
+3.4pp
38%
Under 2.5
43%
-4.5pp
62%
Over 2.5
57%
+4.5pp
55%
BTTS Yes
60%
-5.3pp
45%
BTTS No
40%
+5.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME AC Milan (K) EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Inter Milano (K) EU Bookmakers 40%
+49% / +49% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+150% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
345 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 384 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME AC Milan (K)
2-1
AWAY Inter Milano (K)
0.58 xG 1.34
36% Ball Possession 64%
10 Total Shots 17
4 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 8
187 Passes 413
65% Pass Accuracy 78%
26 Box Touches 25
18 Crosses 21
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH AC Milan (K) vs Inter Milano (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

AC Milan (K) squeezed past Inter Milano (K) 2-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 22% / 40% — and on the day AC Milan (K) made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (62%), both teams to score (55%) came in.

On the day, AC Milan (K) had 36% of the ball to Inter Milano (K)'s 64%, shots finished 10-17, expected goals 0.58 to 1.34 — the balance of chances actually favoured Inter Milano (K).

What was the final score of AC Milan (K) vs Inter Milano (K)?

AC Milan (K) 2-1 Inter Milano (K) in the Italya - Women's Serie A on 18/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for AC Milan (K) vs Inter Milano (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated an Inter Milano (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split AC Milan (K) 38%, draw 22%, Inter Milano (K) 40%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Inter Milano (K)) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Inter Milano (K)) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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