Juventus (K) 4-1 Napoli (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italya - Women's Serie A, 18 Feb 2024

📅18/02/2024 · 🕒14:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
73%
1.16
Draw
14%
7.78
Away
13%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
36%
3.17
Over 2.5
64%
1.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.51
No
55%
1.46
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
17%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
18%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
42%
1/2
3%
1/X
3%
X/1
23%
X/2
3%
X/X
3%
2/1
8%
2/2
8%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
73%
Home Win
82%
-9.5pp
14%
Draw
10%
+3.3pp
13%
Away Win
7%
+6.3pp
36%
Under 2.5
28%
+7.6pp
64%
Over 2.5
72%
-7.6pp
45%
BTTS Yes
36%
+9.3pp
55%
BTTS No
64%
-9.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Juventus (K) EU Bookmakers 87%
Head to Head
AWAY Napoli (K) EU Bookmakers 9%
-5% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -24% / -24%
1.91/0.94 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.16/3.33
+64% / +10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / -7%
61% Ball Possession 39%
20 Total Shots 7
9 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
486 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 302 · 76%
32.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 4.0
28.4 Crosses 4.0
0.7 Yellow Cards 1.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Juventus (K)
4-1
AWAY Napoli (K)
3.32 xG 0.98
70% Ball Possession 30%
27 Total Shots 6
15 Shots on Target 4
13 Corners 2
461 Passes 155
88% Pass Accuracy 69%
43 Box Touches 12
24 Crosses 9
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Juventus (K) vs Napoli (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Juventus (K) cruised past Napoli (K) 4-1. Half-time: 3-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Juventus (K) as the likeliest winner at 73%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (64%) landed while no to both teams scoring (55%) missed.

On the day, Juventus (K) had 70% of the ball to Napoli (K)'s 30%, shots finished 27-6, expected goals 3.32 to 0.98.

What was the final score of Juventus (K) vs Napoli (K)?

Juventus (K) 4-1 Napoli (K) in the Italya - Women's Serie A on 18/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Juventus (K) vs Napoli (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Juventus (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 73%, with the full match-result split Juventus (K) 73%, draw 14%, Napoli (K) 13%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Juventus (K)), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Juventus (K)) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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