Atletico Madrid (K) 1-1 Espanyol (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — İspanya - Premier Lig Kadınlar, 16 Mar 2025

📅16/03/2025 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
1.37
Draw
33%
4.34
Away
33%
7.18
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.95
Over 2.5
50%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
2.13
No
50%
1.63
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
69%
-35.5pp
33%
Draw
20%
+13.3pp
33%
Away Win
11%
+22.1pp
50%
Under 2.5
48%
+2.4pp
50%
Over 2.5
52%
-2.4pp
50%
BTTS Yes
43%
+7.2pp
50%
BTTS No
57%
-7.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Atletico Madrid (K) EU Bookmakers 73%
Head to Head
AWAY Espanyol (K) EU Bookmakers 14%
+1% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -6%
1.80/0.58 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.67/2.05
-31% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -9% / +8%
50% Ball Possession 50%
0 Total Shots 0
0 Shots on Target 0
0 Corners 0
0 · 0% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 0 · 0%
27.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.6
18.9 Crosses 13.8
1.3 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Atletico Madrid (K)
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Espanyol (K)
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
1.73 xG 0.53
75% Ball Possession 25%
16 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 1
7 Corners 1
545 Passes 118
85% Pass Accuracy 58%
25 Box Touches 14
16 Crosses 13
3 Yellow Cards 3
02.11.2024 Espanyol (K) Espanyol (K) 0-0 HT 0-0 Atletico Madrid (K) Atletico Madrid (K) İspanya - Premier Lig Kadınlar
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Atletico Madrid (K)
1-1
AWAY Espanyol (K)
2.49 xG 1.59
73% Ball Possession 27%
13 Total Shots 16
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 6
436 Passes 102
81% Pass Accuracy 54%
35 Box Touches 23
25 Crosses 17
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Atletico Madrid (K) vs Espanyol (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Atletico Madrid (K) and Espanyol (K) couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 33% / 33% / 33% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Atletico Madrid (K) had 73% of the ball to Espanyol (K)'s 27%, shots finished 13-16, expected goals 2.49 to 1.59.

What was the final score of Atletico Madrid (K) vs Espanyol (K)?

Atletico Madrid (K) 1-1 Espanyol (K) in the İspanya - Premier Lig Kadınlar on 16/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Atletico Madrid (K) vs Espanyol (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Atletico Madrid (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 33%, with the full match-result split Atletico Madrid (K) 33%, draw 33%, Espanyol (K) 33%. The final score 1-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (33/33/33)
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