Eibar (K) 1-0 Badalona (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — İspanya - Premier Lig Kadınlar, 16 Mar 2025

📅16/03/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
3.29
Draw
33%
3.11
Away
33%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.62
Over 2.5
50%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.95
No
50%
1.76
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
27%
+6.1pp
33%
Draw
29%
+4.4pp
33%
Away Win
44%
-10.5pp
50%
Under 2.5
58%
-7.9pp
50%
Over 2.5
42%
+7.9pp
50%
BTTS Yes
47%
+2.8pp
50%
BTTS No
53%
-2.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Eibar (K) EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Badalona (K) EU Bookmakers 48%
-13% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -8%
0.71/1.11 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.09/0.83
-44% / +19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -29% / +4%
50% Ball Possession 50%
0 Total Shots 0
0 Shots on Target 0
0 Corners 0
0 · 0% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 0 · 0%
14.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.5
12.4 Crosses 16.0
1.2 Yellow Cards 1.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Eibar (K)
1W-1D-0L
AWAY Badalona (K)
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
0.66 xG 0.69
26% Ball Possession 74%
7 Total Shots 12
1 Shots on Target 4
0 Corners 7
120 Passes 502
54% Pass Accuracy 81%
12 Box Touches 19
7 Crosses 23
1 Yellow Cards 2
15.12.2024 Badalona (K) Badalona (K) 0-1 HT 0-1 Eibar (K) Eibar (K) İspanya - Premier Lig Kadınlar
10.02.2024 Badalona (K) Badalona (K) 1-1 HT 0-1 Eibar (K) Eibar (K) İspanya - Premier Lig Kadınlar
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Eibar (K)
1-0
AWAY Badalona (K)
0.65 xG 0.95
31% Ball Possession 69%
7 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 4
136 Passes 437
57% Pass Accuracy 80%
12 Box Touches 17
10 Crosses 12
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Eibar (K) vs Badalona (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Eibar (K) edged past Badalona (K) 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 33% / 33% / 33% — and on the day Eibar (K) made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Eibar (K) had 31% of the ball to Badalona (K)'s 69%, shots finished 7-8, expected goals 0.65 to 0.95.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Eibar (K) had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Eibar (K) and 0.50 for Badalona (K).

What was the final score of Eibar (K) vs Badalona (K)?

Eibar (K) 1-0 Badalona (K) in the İspanya - Premier Lig Kadınlar on 16/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Eibar (K) vs Badalona (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Eibar (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 33%, with the full match-result split Eibar (K) 33%, draw 33%, Badalona (K) 33%. The final score 1-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (33/33/33)
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