Kapfenberger SV 3-0 Voitsberg — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Austria - 1st Division, 16 Mar 2025

📅16/03/2025 · 🕒12:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.99
Draw
24%
3.28
Away
42%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.95
Over 2.5
47%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.66
No
53%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
31%
3.38
2-3 Goals
37%
1.75
4-5 Goals
20%
3.18
6+ Goals
12%
11.4
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.38 — our 31% vs market 22.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
4.86
1/2
8%
24.7
1/X
5%
12.95
X/1
16%
6.97
X/2
15%
5.07
X/X
13%
4.75
2/1
5%
32.0
2/2
19%
2.96
2/X
5%
12.35
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Under 2.5 — 53%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Away Win BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
30%
+4.6pp
24%
Draw
27%
-3.2pp
42%
Away Win
43%
-1.3pp
53%
Under 2.5
48%
+5.1pp
47%
Over 2.5
52%
-5.1pp
47%
BTTS Yes
56%
-8.9pp
53%
BTTS No
44%
+8.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kapfenberger SV EU Bookmakers 33%
Head to Head
AWAY Voitsberg EU Bookmakers 48%
+0% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-10% / +16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 3
320 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 269 · 71%
13.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
17.2 Crosses
2.8 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kapfenberger SV
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Voitsberg
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
54% Ball Possession 46%
8 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 4
01.09.2024 Voitsberg Voitsberg 1-2 HT 1-1 Kapfenberger SV Kapfenberger SV AU2
28.08.2024 Kapfenberger SV Kapfenberger SV 0-2 HT 0-1 Voitsberg Voitsberg AVK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kapfenberger SV
3-0
AWAY Voitsberg
36% Ball Possession 64%
6 Total Shots 18
3 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Kapfenberger SV vs Voitsberg
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kapfenberger SV cruised past Voitsberg 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match lean was Voitsberg at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Kapfenberger SV had 36% of the ball to Voitsberg's 64%, shots finished 6-18.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Kapfenberger SV and 1.50 for Voitsberg.

What was the final score of Kapfenberger SV vs Voitsberg?

Kapfenberger SV 3-0 Voitsberg in the Austria - 1st Division on 16/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kapfenberger SV vs Voitsberg?

Before kick-off our model rated an Voitsberg win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Kapfenberger SV 34%, draw 24%, Voitsberg 42%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Voitsberg), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Voitsberg) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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