Al Thaid 3-1 Arabi — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UAE - 1st Division, 16 Mar 2025

📅16/03/2025 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
24%
4.13
Draw
23%
3.72
Away
53%
1.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.1
Over 2.5
54%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.7
No
43%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
47%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
7%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
7%
X/2
19%
X/X
10%
2/1
9%
2/2
27%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
BTTS Yes — 57%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Away Win Over 2.5 — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
24%
Home Win
21%
+2.9pp
23%
Draw
23%
-0.0pp
53%
Away Win
56%
-3.0pp
46%
Under 2.5
44%
+2.5pp
54%
Over 2.5
56%
-2.5pp
57%
BTTS Yes
55%
+2.1pp
43%
BTTS No
45%
-2.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Thaid EU Bookmakers 24%
Head to Head
AWAY Arabi EU Bookmakers 61%
+0% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / -1%
1.22/1.77 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.84/1.22
+3% / +9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -15% / -8%
44% Ball Possession 56%
11 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
303 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 415 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Thaid
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Arabi
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
01.12.2024 Arabi 0-1 Al Thaid Al Thaid BAE2
08.11.2024 Arabi 1-0 Al Thaid Al Thaid BAE2
03.05.2024 Arabi 3-1 HT 0-1 Al Thaid Al Thaid BAE2
23.12.2023 Al Thaid Al Thaid 1-2 HT 1-0 Arabi BAE2
12.03.2023 Al Thaid Al Thaid 1-1 HT 0-1 Arabi BAE2
30.10.2022 Arabi 0-1 HT 0-1 Al Thaid Al Thaid BAE2
POST-MATCH Al Thaid vs Arabi
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Thaid beat Arabi 3-1.

Our pre-match lean was Arabi at 53%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (57%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Arabi led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Al Thaid and 1.17 for Arabi.

What was the final score of Al Thaid vs Arabi?

Al Thaid 3-1 Arabi in the UAE - 1st Division on 16/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Thaid vs Arabi?

Before kick-off our model rated an Arabi win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Al Thaid 24%, draw 23%, Arabi 53%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Arabi) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Arabi) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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